Looks like between the 1-5th we get a decent cold shot as the pna lifts out. Perhaps that’s the period to look towards on something more wintry. Unfortunately, the -pna builds back again after that
I just hope we don’t see the pna relax only to see the nao fade at the same time. It’s just seems the last few days the guidance has kicked the can with easing the pna. They have trended strong with the pna/southeast ridge and any changes still stuck at 300 hours
The typhoon really slowed the progression of the mjo. Probably won’t be until the new year we get into p7. Hopefully we can get a pac reshuffle but the ensembles have definitely been can kicking it
Looks good for most of January. Even though blocking breaks down the pv lobe sits near Hudson Bay. By February (way out in time) we go back to the Niña look we have now