Ehhh…I’m not sure what his thoughts are so I won’t comment on that. But imo, the mjo will be in the driver seat with the strong pv, +epo, +nao and mjo warm phases. I completely understand in some years it won’t be dictating our pattern. With that said, so far this year it has been in the driver seat. The cold January was a direct result of the mjo going 7/8 then died in IO which had lingering cold phases. Yes, we/sne can sneak a well timed event in. But overall the second half of February favors warm to perhaps way above normal imo