13/14 had 57.4 going into end of February/march. The pattern ended up being too suppressive going forward.
2011 once the blocking broke down you knew it was over
If one wants to be optimistic and chase a carrot, all the ensembles change the pac for the better around the 20th. I have no rooting interest but for those holding out hope to salvage something
Nobody is saying that…..but with a strong polar vortex it seems that it won’t matter that the mjo is in the cold phases. IMO too much is made of the cold phases of the mjo. Lately we haven’t been cold when they have been in the ideal phases.