Allsnow
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Everything posted by Allsnow
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Perfect
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Exactly. The usual suspects fall for this and next thing you know they kick the can to January. Hopefully we can score a storm in late January or February that fits Nino climo
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Because it’s convection and it feeds off warm water… it will slow down
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It’s not going to speed through
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Agreed. The loop into COD was so bogus and fooled many. This will go around the horn and take its time going into the colder phases. Perhaps a colder look as we enter January which fits Nino climo if their isn’t any lingering Nina effects
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Ensembles look hideous for Mid month… Get ready for the meltdowns
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The cold dry pattern was annoying at the end of December 2017
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Knyc trace of snowfall yesterday
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Hopefully something wintry in the second half of winter
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Normally warmth dominates before these major SSW happen
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Latest mjo Vp maps show this lingering in p4/5
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Those RMM plots are not great to use with predicting the mjo. Days ago people were posting them showing it going into COD. Now it’s correcting stronger and going around the horn. This is why I said days ago how I was skeptical of the MJO “racing through the warm phases”
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The sne forum will go south once they realize the storm next week is rain and it’s 55 on Dec 20th
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Yeah, lots of people expecting this big turnaround by mid month with cold but I don’t see it. We loose the nao and the jet ext continues with poor mjo phases. The mjo doesn’t race through the warm phases and the warm water isn’t where we want it.
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NWS discontinued issuing freeze warnings because the growing season ended for the majority of the area
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That will be our two day artic outbreak around Christmas before the pac goes to crap again haha
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Huh? We are starting the month warm
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@bluewave what do u think it will take to get another 13-14 type winter regarding temps?
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The -nao will prevent us from really torching to start the month. It will be above normal but it would have been torching without a -nao
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If we still have conflicting signals (Nina forcing) it most certainly can happen
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That’s what happened in 2019 during late January into February
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Nina conditions
