Allsnow
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Everything posted by Allsnow
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More rain
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Not having the -nao block so far south I think is helping this cutter really ramp up. The past few Nina’s the storms would dig out west and run into a road block with block so far south
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Lots of overrunning
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It’s amazing we got that much on a horrible track. Testament to the airmass ahead of the system
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1993 was a wild a storm, I remember after a foot the wind driven sleet felt like rocks pelting you. I believe we had a clipper in early March that year that dropped 2-4
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Latest olr maps have the mjo wave weakening in p7 while more convection fires up on the boarder of 2/3
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Obviously, your area can snow in more hostile patterns then down in the mid Atlantic. I’m hopeful that we get a favorable 2-3 week window in this area (end of January into February) for something to help us get close to avg snowfall.
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Statistically, if we don’t see at least an inch in NYC by the end of December the chances of an above normal snowfall season are slim. We haven’t had an inch of snow since February 2022. For your area and sne, I can’t imagine punting one month of avg snowfall is helpful in reaching avg for the season.
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Looks like 60’s Saturday and Sunday Get outside and enjoy it!!!
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Yup, no slowing down this pac jet. Going to be several areas way below avg in snowfall going into January 2024
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Jersey tornado season
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Is the SNE thread forecasting a blizzard for Brooklyn Ny? I don’t understand why one might get a better forecast in that forum
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What ens?
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Yeah, that blue in the southeast is probably just storms with the active pac jet. All of the ensembles agree on that look going into the middle of the month
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That would not be a cold look here in NYC. Ridge in the Aleutians with all Cold locked in Ak. The flow on that map is directly from the PAC
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He lives in Maine
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Another mild December day outside currently
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Great to hear from you! I hope all is well
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Still no evidence of a cooler/snowier pattern showing up on the ensembles. Our mild pattern might go into the the New Year nina forcing in the mjo warm phases keeping us in the same pattern
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@bluewave right in time for the solstice 60 degree temperature
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Haha. EPS says good luck
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On that plot and the euro you see the curl back at the end which is its way of correcting slower in the warm phases
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Those silly RMM charts are finally catching up to the slower mjo pass in 4-7
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No models go out that far currently
