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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Legit feels like April this morning. Nice to finally see the sun
  2. Wow. Didn’t think it got that warm back then in the winter
  3. The jet ext killed any response in the colder phases. Plus it’s not very strong. P1 Nino December actually looks like what week 1 of January is forecasted to be
  4. Mjo p2 in Nino January has that -pna/nina look. hopefully the convection in that area by mid month moves into p3 to help pna
  5. It makes sense giving the mjo going into p3 that we see pna improvements. Sometimes their is a lag time with the response by I like closer to the 15th. @psuhoffman I agree with him on the idea if we revert back to a Nina look it’s most likely over. We don’t have time to recover from that and the strong Nino didn’t help the base state
  6. I’m surprised we didn’t get more storms that month with a look like that. Didn’t we miss a costal the weekend before the blizzard?
  7. @uncle W has anyone heard from him? I hope all is okay
  8. Agreed. I had hope for the first two weeks of the months but the cold Is just not established yet… I hope this is the start of the changes we need for the second half of January
  9. Sucks. Things should start turning around for you guys starting Saturday.
  10. Gfs say congrats the Valley floor of Vegas
  11. How about just a inch of snow for phl nyc and Boston haha
  12. Agreed. If the weeklies are forecasting this big turnaround because of a SSW then it will most likely be kicked further down the road.
  13. All we are saying is if we get to 1/15 and still not tracking a legit threat or see changes a few days away it’s time to punt this winter . Yes, we can get one storm in February but by that point the chances of a huge cold/snowy winter are over
  14. I feel like it gets lots of talk when we are in a mild/snowless winter. It’s usually brought up as one last ditch effort to justify a seasonal outlook or snowy turnaround.
  15. The SSW got a ton of tweets by respectable accounts which kind of surprised me
  16. Your location will have chances as long as the -pna doesn’t go crazy. Last few years that feature has trended stronger as we have gotten closer. Hopefully this is different
  17. Thanks. Hopefully improvements out west around mid month once the wave fully enters p3. In the meantime it does look like Canada will finally start to cool off. p3 January
  18. Hopefully once the mjo works fully into p3 we get the pna to improve
  19. @bluewave thoughts on the mjo? Looks like p3 to start January so hopefully some pna improvements after the cold dump in the west
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