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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. Allsnow
    Boston?
  2. Allsnow
    Crazy… we will never see that again in today’s climate
  3. Allsnow
    Yeah, tired of the 80 comparisons. We currently close to two years without a inch of snow
  4. Allsnow
    Bluewave handing out L’s to every forecaster on this forum
  5. Allsnow
    The wave was very weak in 8-1 passage plus the jet ext overpowered any type of response. Now the standing wave is gaining strength in p2 which isn’t good for the east. P3 is cold in Nino January but unfortunately latest olr maps have the p2 wave not moving
  6. Allsnow
    The mjo was very weak in 8/1 so we didn’t get a classic response. Now a standing wave is forming in p2 which is a Nina like response for January
  7. Allsnow
    Weeklies have punted that classic Nino look (Aleutian low/+pna) into February now. I think the typical Nino backloaded winter is in serious trouble. After p3 the phases are warm in the east for Nino January
  8. Allsnow
    Bluewave has been a step ahead every forecaster for years now
  9. Allsnow
    We cooked
  10. Allsnow
    @Heisy
  11. Allsnow
    You said the same thing about this weeks torch
  12. Allsnow
    Gefs look ugly for the east as the southeast ridge links up with Nao domain.
  13. Allsnow
    Very Nina like which would keep the storm track over or west of us with cold/dry in between. I’m repeating myself but let’s up that ridge can slide east closer to mid month
  14. Allsnow
    Perhaps something along the front as the cold comes east?
  15. Allsnow
    Gefs similar. Just happy not to see the trough further west
  16. Allsnow
    Gefs lock the cold in this run with -nao and -epo ridge. I’ll take that look and roll it forward in hopes p3 takes over
  17. Allsnow
  18. Allsnow
    Winter is coming to the west
  19. Allsnow
    Looks like the interior will get on the board with one of the two systems coming next week. It’s a shame we don’t have a better airmass
  20. Allsnow
    I have hope we see improvements out west by mid month. If not, the typical backloaded winter Nino is probably shot. Some of the seasonal guidance is popping a dateline ridge as the western trough moves further west.
  21. Allsnow
    Can we get a p3 response out west? If not, then the super Nino did little to change the base state.
  22. Allsnow
    Agreed. I think we should see improvements out west closer to the 15th. I don’t buy this Nina look as the datline ridge pops and the trough out west moves further west. Unless the default base state is still Nina and we never get a Nino response. If that’s the case then dollhouses at the 40 yard line please
  23. Allsnow
  24. Allsnow
    Olr maps still have lingering convection in p2 at the end of 11-15 day
  25. Allsnow
    @bluewave was saying that we might not get a p3 response until late month because of lag time and lingering convection in p2
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