Meso discussion
SUMMARY...Snow should overspread the region in the next few hours. With time, the snow should transition to sleet and even freezing rain before ending later this evening/overnight.
DISCUSSION...An area of mixed winter precipitation continues across western and central Pennsylvania this evening. This precipitation area developed/is being maintained on the nose of strong low-level warm-air advection across a deep layer. Over the next few hours this warm-air advection and associated isentropic ascent will overspread eastern Pennsylvania and much of New Jersey. Surface temperatures in the upper-20Fs and low-30Fs, coupled with dewpoint temperatures in the upper-teens and low-20Fs, yield wet-bulb temperatures below 32F. Thermal profiles across the region will initially support all snow. However, as the warm-air advection warms the low-levels, the maximum temperature in the column should increase above 32F yielding sleet and potentially eventually freezing rain before precipitation ends