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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. How about just a inch of snow for phl nyc and Boston haha
  2. Agreed. If the weeklies are forecasting this big turnaround because of a SSW then it will most likely be kicked further down the road.
  3. All we are saying is if we get to 1/15 and still not tracking a legit threat or see changes a few days away it’s time to punt this winter . Yes, we can get one storm in February but by that point the chances of a huge cold/snowy winter are over
  4. I feel like it gets lots of talk when we are in a mild/snowless winter. It’s usually brought up as one last ditch effort to justify a seasonal outlook or snowy turnaround.
  5. The SSW got a ton of tweets by respectable accounts which kind of surprised me
  6. Your location will have chances as long as the -pna doesn’t go crazy. Last few years that feature has trended stronger as we have gotten closer. Hopefully this is different
  7. Thanks. Hopefully improvements out west around mid month once the wave fully enters p3. In the meantime it does look like Canada will finally start to cool off. p3 January
  8. Hopefully once the mjo works fully into p3 we get the pna to improve
  9. @bluewave thoughts on the mjo? Looks like p3 to start January so hopefully some pna improvements after the cold dump in the west
  10. How much rain has NYC received this month?
  11. Looks like a cold shot around mid month is gaining traction. Hopefully snow comes with it
  12. Korh will probably end +7 for the month
  13. Weeklies flip the pattern to a great look around the 15th into February… It’s been showing that look for months now unfortunately
  14. Wow. Where does +6.7 at ORH rank for warmest December on record? crazy, orh is not forecasted to be below frz until Sunday morning and it will only be 30
  15. I think we see improvements out west when the mjo get into p3. Unfortunately, that might take until mid month. Second week of January looks like a -pna with cold dumping west
  16. Probably see improvements out west when the mjo gets into p3.
  17. Second week looks like a -pna with -nao dumping cold into the west. We very well might get to 1/15 without anything
  18. First week of January definitely cooked
  19. First threat or model run of interest will probably start around the 5/6th. I agree, by the 15th if we are still reading posts from metfan about how the pattern is changing this winter is most likely a punt
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