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Everything posted by Allsnow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nice cad signature on the cmc with the strong high to the north- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Would like to see the euro come south this afternoon- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Icon as expected further north then 00z. 6-12 for dca to nyc- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Gfs rocks the mid Atlantic while the cmc crushes the interior- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
12z gfs going to be south of 06z the southwest energy is weaker- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
High is stronger this run so should be a cold run- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
While we wait for the gfs, icon definitely digging more out west with higher hgts out east. It will definitely come north from the overnight run- 3,610 replies
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Even with our recent mild and snowless winter we have found a way to stay mostly off this list. Which is surprising to me
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Absolutely- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I think if the high and 50/50 continue to be a permanent feature there is a good chance NYC breaks the snowless streak. if you had a huge ridge out west suppression would be a concern in this set up as well. The trough out west could also help move a stronger system east quicker- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Eps Snow mean for next weekend is 5 inches for NYC. That’s probably the highest it’s been at this lead time since January 22- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
North trend has stopped for now. wouldn’t mine it sinking a south a little more being 6 days out- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
High is stronger on the gfs with lower hgts should be a colder run again- 3,610 replies
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Okay
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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- 5
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Definitely not as amped as 12z. Going to be a colder run- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Gfs is stronger and further west with the first system. Would think that helps for a colder scenario with second system- 3,610 replies
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EPS/geps vs the gefs in that timeframe currently. Gefs might be wrong
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Gefs might be wrong
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Yep. I think we score a few inches to break the streak
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Snow mean on the eps is 7 inches for nyc in the next two weeks
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Real interesting battle with the ensembles for mid month. Both the eps/geps improve the pna while the gefs get worst. If we make it into p3 of the mjo the better pna makes sense to me
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EPS snow mean for the country out until the 10th Winter is coming