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Everything posted by Allsnow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I’ll take my chances- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
EPS mean is further southeast then 12z- 3,610 replies
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Then cold dry verbatim
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Happy hour gold at the end of the gfs lol.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Strong high on the gfs that locks in at 1036- 3,610 replies
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The olr maps have dry air in the 4-7, so the signal at the very least might be weaker
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Yeah, that’s definitely not a look where the -pna is being smoothed out
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Post the image you posted in the MA forum before the pac crew gets here
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Huge west based -nao on today eps
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I don’t buy that backloaded Nino pna/Aleutian low pattern being forecasted by many in this forum and on Twitter . I think the next few weeks might be the best shot we have to get a significant snowfall- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like the majority of the idv give accumulating snow to nyc- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
EPS snow mean for nyc went up to 6 this run- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Not that I don’t think that system cuts but I wonder if it trends weaker if the 7th system is so strong- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
No follow up heavy snowstorms?- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Similar- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
With that high you think the models cold bias will hold in this situation?- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Definitely. We really need to keep that high strong to have a chance- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Big hits for northern Pa lower Hudson valley and sne 988 south of LI- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Speed is what saves this run from being worst imo. Euro has the brunt of the system sat afternoon- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It will be further north then 00z but not to the cmc extent. It’s stronger but more progressive which helps- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Confluence is stronger on the euro this run. I don’t see this making a cmc type jump north this run- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
So far euro is stronger with the SW compared to 06z but the lead energy off the east coast is stronger- 3,610 replies
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Gefs ext finally show the end of the month pattern flip like the weeklies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Allsnow replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
So you don’t think there is any chance this works out for NyC? It’s either north/rain or south and missed?- 3,610 replies
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