Jump to content

weathermedic

Members
  • Posts

    2,064
  • Joined

  • Last visited

About weathermedic

Contact Methods

  • Website URL
    http://www.weatherlink.com/user/weathermedic/

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KJFK
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Sheepshead Bay, Brooklyn

Recent Profile Visitors

4,822 profile views
  1. Montauk Point Lighthouse Davis weather station network reported an 85mph gust. Don't know how high off the ground the sensor is mounted but still impressive.
  2. Special Weather Statement National Weather Service New York NY 1028 AM EST Fri Dec 19 2025 CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179- 191900- Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex- Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven- Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic- Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen- Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange- Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester- New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)- Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk- Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens- Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 1028 AM EST Fri Dec 19 2025 A line of showers with gusty winds will be moving across the area late this morning into early afternoon. This will likely be the time when the strongest gusts of the day occur. Gusts will be mostly 40-55 mph, but some areas will see gusts around 60 mph. Gusts up to 70 mph will be possible across Long Island and coastal Connecticut.
  3. Any reports of coastal flooding in the usual spots?
  4. Topped off at 3 inches here in Sheepshead Bay. Temp down to 28.
  5. Back edge of the snow rapidly approaching extreme eastern metropolitan NJ and the Hudson River
  6. 2 inches here in Sheepshead Bay so far. Temp down to 30
  7. 1.5 inches on colder surfaces here in Sheepshead Bay. Snowing moderately. Temp still at 33
  8. Very small flakes and 34 degrees. Everything wet
  9. 4pm NWS Obs all showing westerly winds in the city and at Newark. CP down to 39 with a DP of 25
  10. 42 DP 31. Wet bulb 38 with a westerly wind at my station. Not very friendly for snow at the start
  11. Nice write up from the afternoon OKX AFD: NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... Key Points: * Winter Weather Advisories have been expanded across most of the local Tri-State region from 10pm tonight through 1pm Sunday. * 2 to 3" of snow expected across much of the interior, 3 to 5" for NYC/NJ metro and coast, and 4 to 6" for E LI, tonight into Sunday morning. Locally higher amounts possible. A strong polar low (-2 std 500mb height) digs southeast from Ontario into the Great Lakes into tonight. Trend over the last 24-48 hours has been for this feature to take on a slightly more neutral tilt (from positive) as it pivots towards the area tonight into Sunday morning. This will provide a bit more theta-e advection into the area, and also shift the the ULJ slightly farther NW of the region. At the surface, a weak cold front moves through the region this evening, with combination of approaching shortwave PVA and RRQ of 150kt ULJ inducing weak low pressure development along the front across Mid Atlantic this evening, tracking southeast of the 40/70 lat/lon tonight into Sunday AM. Although surface features are weak, the deep layered lift overnight into Sunday AM (including RRQ of ULJ, and modest mid-level frontogenesis/lift in the snow growth region along the coast), and slightly more depth of moisture for low pressure to work with has resulted in a gradual increase in QPF and snowfall totals over the last 48 hrs. Good agreement in liquid equivalent of .3 to .5 for coast and .1 to .2 for interior. Main snowfall amount forecast challenge is from northward extent and duration of moderate snow banding, and snow ratios during peak dendritic snow growth late tonight. SLRs should exceed typical 10:1 late tonight into Sunday morning during best snow growth period and dropping 850 hpa temps, with 12-14:1 seeming reasonable late tonight into Sun AM. This has resulted in a general 1" increase in snow amounts across the area. 3-5" likely across much of the coast including NYC/NJ metro, with locally 6" possible. 4-6" across E LI, with locally 7" possible. 2 to 4" across interior. WPC Superensemble and experimental NBM 5.0 have pretty good clustering in these ranges, with reasonable worst case (10% prob of exceeding) a couple of inches higher. In terms of timing, snow could develop as early as 6-7pm this evening, perhaps mixing with rain for city/coast at onset with air temps in the upper 30s/lower 40s. Steadier snow likely develops after 9pm from w to e, with a steady light to moderate snow from midnight through Sunday morning. Snowfall rates of up to 1/2"/hr likely develop after midnight through mid to late morning for much of the area, with potential for brief 1"/hr rates along the coast from 4am to 11am during best snow growth. This signal is evident in the high-res CAMs, with highest prob across southern and E LI. This will be time period of greatest travel impacts in terms of reduced vsby and snow covered roads with freezing/sub freezing air temps, higher snow rates, and reduced vsby. Initially above freezing air/surface temps for city/coast this evening, dropping below freezing late tonight into Sunday AM, may resulted in icy spots on untreated surfaces. Steady snow exits from w to e mid to late morning, except early afternoon for far SE areas.
×
×
  • Create New...