bluewave
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Everything posted by bluewave
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Near record April low moving through the Northeast next several days. It will snow over higher elevation and far enough north regions. Our area could see strong storms tomorrow followed by a freeze in the usually colder spots this weekend.
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Made it to 63 degrees before the sea breeze arrived.
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I hope that you get better soon.
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The -EPO takes over once the -NAO weakens. So we get a trough in the Great Lakes and Northeast. The MJO VP anomalies support this general pattern.
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Yeah, the MJO supports a trough in the Great Lakes and Northeast around that time.
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Good to see the sun come out with temperatures near 60 this afternoon.
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It’s been the pattern since 2012 to get a big spring -NAO drop following a +NAO winter. 2012 1.17 0.42 1.27 0.47 -0.91 2013 0.35 -0.45 -1.61 0.69 0.57 2014 0.29 1.34 0.80 0.31 -0.92 2015 1.79 1.32 1.45 0.73 0.15 2016 0.12 1.58 0.73 0.38 -0.77 2017 0.48 1.00 0.74 1.73 -1.91 2018 1.44 1.58 -0.93 1.24 2.12 2019 0.59 0.29 1.23 0.47 -2.62 2020 1.34
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Getting some breaks of sun between the rain bands moving through.
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All-time record high pressure at1070 mb in Northern Canada today.
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Winds coming in above guidance with the big offshore storm. Looks like we get some rain on Friday as the storm loops back toward the coast. Kennedy Intl FAIR 48 31 51 NW29G40 29
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We are getting our strong spring -NAO pattern. This has been a common feature in recent years following the record winter +AO./+NAO. Records for high pressure have been set over Northern Canada.
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The cutter, hugger, and suppressed southern stream storm tracks have dominated last few years.
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Yeah, the warm sun felt nice today. The ocean storm to our SE is beginning to take on some subtropical characteristics. Looks like it will be pretty windy the next few days especially out toward Eastern LI and Cape Cod.
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Getting more sun today than yesterday. Strong ocean storm is moving SE of the area under the big -NAO block.
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Yeah, we can see above normal summer temperatures during a -NAO. It looks like parts of Northern Canada could approach record high pressures this week with the -NAO. Models have been showing high pressure getting above 1060 MB this week.
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Very Impressive +5SD block near Greenland. Typical spring -NAO temperature pattern. Cool inshore flow here with 80’s over the Mid-Atlantic.
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High temperatures usually beat guidance on these dry and sunny downslope flow days. Newark Liberty FAIR 68 26 20 NW12
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Just like today. NYC TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 45 258 PM 79 1963 53 -8 56 MINIMUM 40 433 AM 13 1878 38 2 42 AVERAGE 43 45 -2 49
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Yeah, looks like a wetter pattern with the lows tracking between the SE Ridge and Greenland Block.
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This will be the first time in a while that the Greenland Block is more dominant than the SE Ridge. While it’s not a cold pattern, it will be less warm than the month has been to date.
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Plenty of easterly flow the next 5 days as the New England high remains in place. Maybe we can sneak in a warmer day beyond that if the SE Ridge can flex.
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It’s been a while since we had a +5SD block near Greenland.
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The PV decays when the sunlight returns to the Arctic in the spring.
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Yeah, back door pattern setting up with plenty of high pressure over New England.
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The 80 on Friday was probably the warmest of the month. MJO 2-3 and -NAO should keep the warmest temperatures to our south. The interior continues to be the place to be for snows like we seen the last few winters.
