tacoman25
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Everything posted by tacoman25
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That's fair, but your first statement was about this last event busting. Which wasn't the case, at least for most of the Denver area. It was never forecast to be a big storm.
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I mean...most of Denver metro was expected to get 1-4" and that happened? With a few places in SW metro getting more.
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That makes things easier, huh? But was he wrong?
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Lol, ended up with almost 4" here. On the high end of what most models showed 24 hours out.
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Yeah, this one's looking like a bust. Got a couple brief snow showers this am that amounted to about 1/4", and now it's looking like the second part of the system that was supposed to deliver the heavier stuff overnight is drifting more to the south.
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Yeah, those trying to use flooding pics in Miami as an example of sea level rise and climate change are being completely dishonest and/or patently doomers. And yes, if some in this thread want to label us "deniers", I'm going to label them doomers. Fair is fair.
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Yes, and as I pointed out, it wasn't just comparing the magnitude of the extremes on both sides, it was the geographic extent as well. Most of Canada, a huge country, was well below normal last month.
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0z Euro looks basically the same as 12z. Looks like there will be snow tomorrow for a few hours, then a lull, then it picks up again in the evening for a few hours. 2-4" for Denver metro south of 70 still appears on track.
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Latest GFS goes nuts. NAM trended wetter, too. Have to think this is overdone, though.
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Eh, last couple snow events ended up about where the models were showing 24 hours out. At least here. In early December I actually got an inch or two more than was expected. Most are still showing 1-4" for Denver metro as of now, so I think that's a pretty good bet. Main limiting factor looks to be heaviest precip occurring during the middle of the day with peak heating.
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Sure, but a 30 year period is standard for anomalies. So my statement stands. And it's also only fair to acknowledge how much larger that area of extreme cold anomalies in NW Canada/AK was. Canada saw their coldest December temp in 50 years last month: https://nationalpost.com/opinion/canadas-coldest-temperature-in-50-years That's a whole country. It was objectively an impressive and extremely cold period up north, no reason to downplay this.
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Lame cop out. Who here has "denied" climate change is happening? Some of you think that if people aren't freaking out and claiming the world is ending due to climate change, they're deniers. It's not that binary, that's not reality. "Oh no, someone pointed out that it's not record heat everywhere, all the time - they are a clearly a DENIER! Burn them at the stake."
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Yeah, that really captures it. The extreme cold was greater than the extreme warmth, as far as anomalies go.
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All models are now pretty much in agreement for a 2-4" event for the metro area Thursday afternoon and night. With higher amounts possible further south.
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Really depends on the location. Boulder saw their snowiest winter on record in 2019-20, and the last decade has been snowier there than the 1980s were. But yeah, this pattern has been the worst. At least it looks like we may get some snow in a few days.
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No, the original discussion that I have been a part of was also about Canada and AK. See the posts he was responding to. Context.
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And yet, since 2020 Phoenix has seen 7 record warm months and Flagstaff has seen 2. Seems relevant to a post specifically about record warm months.
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Just a brutal fall and early winter. Looks like only 2021 was drier in both the airport and long term city records for OND. The pattern persistence has been unreal. It wasn't the second warmest December in Denver records, though. Both 1933 and 1957 were warmer in the city station records. But it was the warmest for the airport stations. 1933 was legit, it's backed up by plenty of other temp records throughout the region and the West that year.
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Looks like 1980 remains the warmest December for Flagstaff. Lot of pattern similarities this winter to that one so far.
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Not when you include AK and Canada, which you can't with that map.
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Yeah, about 3/4" here as well.
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Oof, bad trend the past 24 hours. Half the models now show Denver getting skunked. Some still show 1-2".
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If December ended today, it would be Juneau's coldest on record.
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Is that not weather? And when you include AK, not even close to 2/3 of the country torched. Alaska is pretty big.
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Of course. It's just interesting that despite the warming we've seen, over the short term there can still be some very cold periods regionally. This convo started, of course, with short term extreme warmth examples - which also happened to a slightly less warm degree 100 years ago.
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