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SchaumburgStormer

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Everything posted by SchaumburgStormer

  1. SchaumburgStormer
  2. SchaumburgStormer
    This run looks like a crush job for the 88 corridor. Cyclone banking big time too
  3. SchaumburgStormer
    At 45hr, low is in the same place as it was at 18z. Slightly strong low
  4. SchaumburgStormer
    SREF plumes for ORD continue to dump the lowballs. Mean up to near 8” with a big bunch between 8-12”
  5. SchaumburgStormer
    NAM looks to be NW and a touch stronger with the low
  6. SchaumburgStormer
    I really like the area between mby and RFD based on trends. But of course, am waiting on high res models to inevitably shift things a bit
  7. SchaumburgStormer
    Still some clunkers dragging things down, but 7.5” SREF mean at ORD with a bunch in double digits. This has all the ingredients to be an over performer, and I think somewhere in LOT will crack a foot.
  8. SchaumburgStormer
    It’s fine to worry. Hell, I am worried about some sort of monkey wrench. Where I have an issue is with a “met” ignoring guidance to fit some sort of weird crusade for underperformance. If it indeed does underperform, then we can do a post analysis, but ignoring a consensus of modeling is simply bad forecasting and wishcasting
  9. SchaumburgStormer
    Do you read what you write? You clearly picked 2 models here... Proving that have the degree does not necessarily make a good forecaster
  10. SchaumburgStormer
    I’m not sure why you, as a meteorologist, are cherry picking models which are outliers of the growing consensus to minimize the storm. Yes there are failure modes, but the preponderance of the evidence is showing a substantial event for N IL.
  11. SchaumburgStormer
    I think northern LOT is in a 6” floor, high ceiling scenario. If the low remains intact a bit longer, there will be some sig totals. W LOT could jackpot by catching both the initial heavier band and any redevelopment for a secondary low.
  12. SchaumburgStormer
  13. SchaumburgStormer
    Shears out and just sits on N IL snowing. Totals will be in line with earlier runs
  14. SchaumburgStormer
    Euro is a touch south, or maybe a bit slower.
  15. SchaumburgStormer
    Or the surprise downstate IL event where 1-2 was predicted and areas got smoked with 10”
  16. SchaumburgStormer
    Oh hey NAM
  17. SchaumburgStormer
    Mean of 6” at DKB, even with the clunkers.
  18. SchaumburgStormer
    Storm thread? Part two? but for real, nice to have a rocking storm thread again.
  19. SchaumburgStormer
    I almost think we get more Snow having the energy sheared apart. It just sits over us and snows for 6 hours on this run
  20. SchaumburgStormer
    Yep. Sign me up.
  21. SchaumburgStormer
    Throwing a ton of snow back west. Still sig snow falling back into IA at 90hr
  22. SchaumburgStormer
    Still looking to be a solid N IL hit, but definitely getting sheared out faster this run
  23. SchaumburgStormer
    Euro ticking north again
  24. SchaumburgStormer
    Nope, taking a classic Metro Buried path.
  25. SchaumburgStormer
    GFS looks North
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