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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. Sure, and I thought there was a potential up there for tornadoes too, but that doesn't make it chaseable, which is what matters here.
  2. Id gamble on something coming in sooner than expected vs trying the forest north of US-10
  3. It's very unchasable. I'd say if you want to chase in the state just chase the thumb and hope something hits there.
  4. I like the week after Labor Day, less people around and if I get lucky it can still be in the 80s.
  5. Deep winter up there still, I have been to the UP on vacation in the first 2 weeks of May. If I came up there to this, I would turn around.
  6. back side frontal snow like today doesn't interest me.
  7. 30-35 was always going to be the bare minimum, if they get more so be it.
  8. Nice 14.43453245252662654443243" of snow
  9. I got 0.0000000002" of snow using the @McHenrySnowmethod Oh and since you will see this post, unlike the others I won't be as nice. Everyone knows how to measure snow and you posting what you are posting is a bunch of crap. I question your red tag every time you post because no met would say and do these things. I don't care who gets upset at me saying that but you are making those of us who are actual mets look bad with your posting.
  10. Yeah I am liking a 3-5" snowfall for here. Not a ton but enough to make things interesting.
  11. And how has the GFS performed lately? This is going to change 50 times and that is just with the gfs.
  12. 6" here, had some big time drifts too, 2-3' half way up the fence of the neighbors.
  13. It won't last long and is filling in quickly. It might not even slow down much.
  14. Down that way might get skunked a bit by the dryslot.
  15. Disagree also too as it cools you are going to have weaker returns and still be producing. The FGEN at 850/700 look good too
  16. Interesting that the euro came in more juiced up. Not that it means alot at this point but gotta stop the hemorrhaging somehow. And yeah the 06z runs stopping the south bleed thank god
  17. Yeah I don't think so, nothing is that bad not even the shitty gfs.
  18. It is 50 right now and somehow we might be missed to the south 15 hours from now.
  19. GFS keeps moving south, what a garbage system and/or garbage model.
  20. I agree with these thoughts, yes it is a bit annoying that there is a drying trend in the models right before the system hits but I don't see this unraveling as fast and there is ample moisture heading north without a blocking heavy rain MCS like back in December.
  21. I would expect a watch in a couple hours for SEMI, they will probably go 5-8 but I would do 7-10. Every model seems to have move off of the ice potential north of 8 Mile and the rest are slowing moving away from it south of there.
  22. I'm looking around here, locally for you sure. There are huge differences to the east.
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