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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. Chicago's area should get lake enhancement which the models are sometimes too coarse to pick up. I wouldn't worry too much I could see most of that metro getting 3-6"
  2. Euro is more of a left leaner right now.
  3. Usually the low tracks south of the snow pack, it's not always but with sliders W-E it does more often than not. Also too the storm Wednesday will leave back some blocked/confluence too, which is why it is more on a W-E path.
  4. Has potential but Wednesday/Thursday will dictate the path a bit. Still noteworthy solutions being put out though at this junction.
  5. SREF plumes, he is right.
  6. Maybe a hair weaker overall.
  7. Yeah I have a feeling the NAM is overamplified here, especially with the 3km not even remotely close to it.
  8. We can stop with the shifting NW, like nothing has all winter and now we get a potential storm and its rocketing NW. I don't want an ice storm nor do I want cold rain.
  9. It could never snow again if the Euro was anywhere close to verifying. That would crush January 2014 by a huge margin.
  10. The system next weekend on the GFS is the most nonsensical thing I have seen 16-22 here in temp and sleet/freezing rain. That system even has 700mb temps near or above 0°.
  11. Unlike the previous patterns, this is a Texas low pattern which is our favored pattern for the region. We aren't dealing with suppression either. It's not NW flow moisture starved unphased systems either. This pattern has the potential to be pretty good starting with this storm.
  12. I'll check them out idk if they will work on mobile but it's worth a try.
  13. I see. I'm a chrome on the phone and Firefox on the computer sadly neither has a way to fix this.
  14. How? My eyes burn with the current theme
  15. It's more about things it doesn't see in development. It doesn't know what a TCU or CB is. Those are crucial to the lead time of a thunderstorm.
  16. Sleet it will report UP which is unknown precip, because it doesn't understand sleet.
  17. Thankfully my office we have a pretty good relationship with the tower. If anything I am usually having to call to get vis updated etc. As for automation they expected that to happen 20 years ago. ASOS can't even report PL correctly, doesn't do lightning even remotely right, can't see extremes like tornadoes, or significant clouds. AI is obviously coming but AI can't do a lot of things.
  18. 5 was the lowest so far today, we have had a bit of snow flurries and clouds.
  19. FAA should have never taken over any of this, it is a conflict of interest. If they control the weather observations they can put out whatever they want which would keep planes flying in adverse weather. It is always a concern about the positions getting eliminated but thankfully congress on both sides realizes the importance of contract weather observers and we are a small portion of the FAA budget to begin with. The value of information we produce is very high for the cost. As for snow measuring, I would love to do it here at DTW but as you all have seen from posts in the past, my office is on top of the terminal and 70 feet in the air. It is impossible to measure snow up here with no protected grass. We had done it in the past before we moved into the Evans (North) terminal in 2010.
  20. Got down to 6 here this morning, got a few nights below zero coming up.
  21. Yeah let's bitch about a lack of a Detroit storm from Florida when he could go anywhere
  22. I mean you are complaining from Florida about something you aren't experiencing most of the time. It would be like me complaining about the heat and humidity in Miami.
  23. So you complain from somewhere else about missing snow that you wouldn't see unless it was a major snowstorm? You are ridiculous.
  24. The observers here don't measure snow at DTW, so I am in the dark on this one. We haven't measured since 2010.
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