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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. Stebo
    There is going to be a lot more ice than the nam is showing if it's running into as cold of atmosphere that should be in place. Also too the low looks too far north in relation to the 500mb maps. Lastly Nam at this range cut last night's storm through the state only to be spectacularly wrong.
  2. Stebo
    I like what I am seeing and we don't have that much time for something to hit MSP or some nonsense.
  3. Stebo
    It shows 20" here Also, sarcasm?
  4. Stebo
    I would pay every dollar I have for a Ukmet win here.
  5. Stebo
    4.3" at home which fell right into my initial 3-6" thoughts I had.
  6. Stebo
    Weaker would be really bad for this system's potential
  7. Stebo
    Yeah you and us up here have been in the same boat.
  8. Stebo
    HRRR is a bit too dry for what the simulated reflectivity looks like plus it is notoriously dry with synoptic snows.
  9. Stebo
    We haven't had a winter storm warning in over 2 years, we need something.
  10. Stebo
    LOUD NOISES + --->
  11. Stebo
    12z GFS was so close to something really huge.
  12. Stebo
    Chicago's area should get lake enhancement which the models are sometimes too coarse to pick up. I wouldn't worry too much I could see most of that metro getting 3-6"
  13. Stebo
    Euro is more of a left leaner right now.
  14. Stebo
    Usually the low tracks south of the snow pack, it's not always but with sliders W-E it does more often than not. Also too the storm Wednesday will leave back some blocked/confluence too, which is why it is more on a W-E path.
  15. Stebo
    Has potential but Wednesday/Thursday will dictate the path a bit. Still noteworthy solutions being put out though at this junction.
  16. Stebo
    SREF plumes, he is right.
  17. Stebo
    Maybe a hair weaker overall.
  18. Stebo
    Yeah I have a feeling the NAM is overamplified here, especially with the 3km not even remotely close to it.
  19. Stebo
    We can stop with the shifting NW, like nothing has all winter and now we get a potential storm and its rocketing NW. I don't want an ice storm nor do I want cold rain.
  20. Stebo
    It could never snow again if the Euro was anywhere close to verifying. That would crush January 2014 by a huge margin.
  21. Stebo
    The system next weekend on the GFS is the most nonsensical thing I have seen 16-22 here in temp and sleet/freezing rain. That system even has 700mb temps near or above 0°.
  22. Stebo
    Unlike the previous patterns, this is a Texas low pattern which is our favored pattern for the region. We aren't dealing with suppression either. It's not NW flow moisture starved unphased systems either. This pattern has the potential to be pretty good starting with this storm.
  23. Stebo
    I'll check them out idk if they will work on mobile but it's worth a try.
  24. Stebo
    I see. I'm a chrome on the phone and Firefox on the computer sadly neither has a way to fix this.
  25. Stebo
    How? My eyes burn with the current theme
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