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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. Solid trends for Southern Michigan over the last few days. Could be a solid advisory type snow
  2. I would say 50/50 here, mostly some hearty maples holding on.
  3. Yeah my posts were only in reference to the maps being posted not whether they'd verify. It isn't worth going that in depth on a day 10 forecast.
  4. It is very early for this kind of cold and suppression. Going from late summer to dead of winter with minimal snow isn't something appealing.
  5. Oh really? A trough centered over the eastern lakes isn't a cold and dry pattern? That is news to me. Sure you could end up with a dusty clipper or two but that isn't a favorable pattern for this subforum unless you are downwind of the lakes.
  6. We need that trough centered west unless you like cold and dry.
  7. Need that centered about 500 miles west otherwise cold and dry wins
  8. Now we are talking. I just hope we don't use up all that mojo too early.
  9. Also glad to see the storm wrapped up quicker and the GFS being wrong.
  10. I am kind of disappointed in the lack of photography in this thread with things going to pound town.
  11. Part of the reason why the city stays warmer through the day on the GFS is the TROWAL noses in and keeps them above freezing at surface to 925mb until 21z even near 0 at 850mb.
  12. This would be the only way the immediate lakeshore turns over to snow early, if the system wraps up stronger than expected.
  13. Lake is pretty warm and the flow is weak. I would believe it.
  14. that is one tight FGEN band for tonight, we have seen those yield spectacularly lately in N IL/S WI.
  15. Is there no way for you guys to just make new accounts there. It is obvious no one cares so might as well just make a new account.
  16. Let's hope we don't burn up all the good systems now. This pattern would be absolutely spectacular in a month or later from now.
  17. After last year, it would hilarious if Missouri of all states cleans up on this storm. They probably never want to see snow after last winter.
  18. Yeah HWRF is like the CRAS when it comes to mid latitude storms. Okay maybe not that bad but the value isn't really there beyond the coast.
  19. 00z GEFS members are more than half with a storm, certainly much stronger than the op.
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