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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. What is interesting is the CAA really starts to strengthen from 66-84hr turning a lot of the rain to freezing rain. It would be interesting if A. this is a start of a trend and B. what would happen beyond that. With all the convection that will be south, it wouldn't surprise me to see the low further south as well especially if the system doesn't take a negative tilt which the NAM didn't do.
  2. Keep moving northwest, I want the warm sector and thunder.
  3. The air mass is the cold air pressing in not the prefrontal airmass which is why there is a lot of ice being shown especially with the multiple piece setup it is showing.
  4. The ice issues with this will be significant especially if a Euro 2 piece storm occurs. Certainly significant potential is there.
  5. He may have and I missed it, idk I just find it a tough subject to joke on.
  6. Interestingly enough a large number of GEFS members have latched onto the Saturday thing over the last couple of runs
  7. If it does it won't be much per every model at this point.
  8. DTW ended up 35.1 only .7 from November. Pretty wild that they almost matched.
  9. Northern stream sped up, putting everything out of phase for both storms. I don't expect that to go back.
  10. Warm to misses to the south. it can't get to spring fast enough.
  11. Yeah I am watching the day 7 system more than this appetizer.
  12. I wouldn't call that Euro run a cutter. That hits most of the subforum
  13. Week 1 Blowtorch Week 2 near to slightly above normal. Week 3 same only cooler than normal to the north and west Week 4 same Week 5 and beyond dartboard. One thing that is consistent, it gets cold out west and stays that way through the duration.
  14. I'll take Unrealistic Phenomena for $2000 Alex.
  15. But seriously 20 states currently with some sort of Dense fog or Freezing Fog advisory, just goes to show you how stagnate this pattern is currently.
  16. I couldn't find climatology for thickness records, but 500mb heights I did find, and that would have been near historic. The lowest heights I found for Melbourne was 544dm and 550dm for Miami. This was 547 and 550 exactly.
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