Stebo

GFS is trying, the thing is the models are going to struggle with that until the day of basically. Models love to push it along the jet, but in reality it usually dives into the instability.

Point and click forecast starting Saturday here Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Saturday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 74. Sunday Sunny and hot, with a high near 98. Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 76. Monday Sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Monday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 77. Tuesday Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 96. Pass

There is some feedback, but its not necessarily incorrect, as you mention with an MCV it can modulate the wind fields much stronger.

Wednesday

I'd have to defer to Ricky on this but every model is suffering from convective feedback, I really don't know how to forecast this one. Verbatim most models are significant but there is a feedback that is amplifying the winds, how much of that is true I don't know.

Saturday has my interest.

Wednesday is interesting, a low ejects out of the plains and strengthens as it moves towards the Straits of Mackinaw overnight into Thursday, with ample instability and a warm front lifting through the state I would expect some severe weather of all modes with a squall line trailing along the cold front. The wind fields are pretty robust as well.

Timing on Euro is actually similar, the only thing I don't like is that it could extend into the night time. Don't need night time tornadoes.

I am fine with the GFS speed, IL doesn't need to get everything lol.

Will do, if not here I will on twitter, but I will try and remember here as well.

My yearly chasecation starts Friday, pretty excited to be out on the open roads.

I'd rather we have some cold into end of March instead of mid April or something like that.

Aren't you in Florida? Why are you complaining

I am very concerned with STL's metro this evening. Moisture arrives just in time to make this a very significant potential.

Yeah outside of a surprise storm at some point, I don't think we will see much more wintry weather this spring.