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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. rochesterdave
    Lowville is tough. It’s in a real Valley. It gets downsloped with Lake Effect. It gets downsloped drone the east. But I doubt that’s right.
  2. rochesterdave
    Care to elaborate?
  3. rochesterdave
    I’d take that! Decent for Rochester east. Thanks
  4. rochesterdave
    I don’t see many of these working. Relying a northern stream development at the last second never works. The models always like them but I can’t remember a single LP that cut across the lakes to develop in the NE that was good for WNY. All our good ones start south or south west. Obviously (I think), we get something but I hope it doesn’t look like these.
  5. rochesterdave
    Looks like you guys picked up a little last night?
  6. rochesterdave
    What’s the over under for 50F on Christmas? I’m definitely going over this year. Again…
  7. rochesterdave
    The ICON was pretty good model for my area last year. At least for snowfall. I believe it got an upgrade in 2020. Laugh away but I like it. Lol
  8. rochesterdave
    Still there
  9. rochesterdave
    Man! Tell me someone is checking this out?
  10. rochesterdave
    It keeps showing up!
  11. rochesterdave
    Yep. Thanksgiving is a lock for most of us. NAO with Greenland block is what we will have, nearly guaranteeing a white Thanksgiving around WNY/CNY. Id expect at least one good synoptic storm out of it and a ton of LES. Should be fun.
  12. rochesterdave
    note the pm cellular nature and the lakeshore rain. Sometimes I take for granted how good our radar is
  13. rochesterdave
    Dream track. Pretty rare. LP’s don’t like to track over the mountains like this. They’ll either jump east or west. This time of year, my bet would be west.
  14. rochesterdave
    My least favorite storm track for Rochester. The worst. Temp issues and down sloping every time. Im enjoying watching the BUF event. Dynamic cooling with LES is amazing.
  15. rochesterdave
    Looks to be reloading too
  16. rochesterdave
    Nothing like 1.3” of graupel and frosty rain drops.
  17. rochesterdave
    GFS is showing a near parade of storms with a track over us or just north of us. Man, after last year, that brings back rough memories…. It’s early. But there’s little hope they track south. That doesn’t really happen in November. I’d bet on ticks NW, which could benefit the LES belt folks who would like a big winder moving way NW and dragging across a good CF.
  18. rochesterdave
    A hard turn right up to your house. OMG!!! You can’t make that up. Lol
  19. rochesterdave
    The scale is a bit ridiculous. They should stretch out the lower amounts.
  20. rochesterdave
    So it looks like La Niña is a lock. Here’s to hoping it’s weak to moderate.
  21. rochesterdave
    Lot of energy along the east coast at the 100 hr. Wouldn’t take a whole lot to back that LP up and have a coastal or even inland track. Something to watch. Vigorous little spinner.
  22. rochesterdave
    Active is an understatement
  23. rochesterdave
    Represent! Lol
  24. rochesterdave
    Agreed. It sure feels like ingredients are coming together for a classic SW event. I’ve never chased but I’m going to keep an eye on it!
  25. rochesterdave
    We just had a perfect weekend
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