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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. The north country is really showing its advantages. I’ve gotta get a place up there!
  2. Dude!!! The better for you. You. You. You. It means nothing for those outside of Buffalo
  3. Don’t forget, the backside snows are always overdone on the models. For everyone except the traditional snowbelts it means soaking rain followed by an abrupt and windy shutdown of moisture. Delta will like the cold winds. Lol It is surprising how close a couple of them look- I don’t buy it. I’d look for big adjustments NW in this pattern. Which I think the disco was alluding to. With the accompanying chances for localized Buf snows.
  4. I feel like you’re basing all your rosy opinions off of the hills near Holliday Valley. I think we have a single poster who lives down there (vacation home). It’s simply not realistic for the majority of us.
  5. Is anyone surprised? This is going to be a total redo of last winter. Us skiers better get our butts out west!
  6. EPS is more of the same (albeit in a colder climate time frame). GEFS and GEPS along with LR CFS all point towards milder conditions with zonal flow.
  7. I’m operating from an existing state of famine. If the last three years had done anything but stink I might have some of Delta’s optimism. Here’s to hoping on a better December!
  8. CSF monthlies look bad. Real bad. Of course, it’s probably better this way. If they showed cold (like they did one month ago) they’d just be setting us up.
  9. I’ve yet to have a single inch on the ground. Had 1/2” on the ground several times yesterday at different times. But it’s been a horrible November snow-wise in Rochester. A little complaining is in order.
  10. Brief period of gentle north flow off Ontario tonight. Wouldn’t be surprised to see a few fluffy inches along the south shore counties. MESOS are seeing this too.
  11. You can really discern the LP on radar right now. Just east of IAG and diving SE.
  12. Somewhat interesting looking system training precip back into the interior. Unusual scenario. Not getting my hopes up.
  13. Anyone got a link for ensemble stamps? The one that shows all the different runs on a single gridded page?
  14. This would be lucky. Plus, I read on NYT, from a Harvard researcher, that the vax should provide some protection. Especially if you’ve had the booster, as it broadens the immune response. It was speculated that Omicron could of mutated in a person with HIV who had limited immunity. That it would of had time in their system to reproduce and mutate. Vax rates in S Africa are pretty low (27%) and they have a high prevalence of HIV. Just found it interesting.
  15. This isn’t a true block pattern. It’s not zonal. But more conducive to more clippers? No?
  16. You can see the line of lake effect over Erie. Appears to be zeroing in on Buffalo. You can also see the precip drop off once it descends into the Genny Valley. Have fun Buf. I’ll enjoy my overcast. Lol
  17. It’s active. But we need one to catch and it’s tough to catch. It’s a swift flow and we’ll lose our block. I think it looks like more of the same- good for the Lake Effect Elevation areas. BS for the rest of us. But at least it bears watching.
  18. Rochester’s best chance is behind the clipper in a gentle north flow. Could be good for an inch or two. Hey. I’m desperate over here! Lol
  19. How we didn’t end up with something good is amazing to me. Upcoming pattern looks meh. We get a chance or two but probably more of the same. This parade of clippers are just a month too soon-as BufWX said.
  20. Here ya go Matt. Since you think the weather is always trolling you, I thought this might make you feel better. The green blob is only over my head! Lol
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