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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. not understanding the headlines or lack there of? Did they skip the lake plain on purpose? Or just delaying a decision? Weird
  2. Yeah. No arctic outbreak, that’s for sure. But synoptic chances are decent. I’m just happy there’s a chance of snow near Christmas.
  3. I don’t see it either. More a return to normal. Which will feel cold.
  4. Curious how the hirez GFS does. Jamestown…..lol. Gonna be tight.
  5. They translate sleet to snow. It’s useless with these type of storms
  6. It’s always under modeled. Well…90% of the time. You are gonna be tight.. I’ll watch but it’s over for Buf-SYR. Pasting followed by wash
  7. Pivotal 3k is catching on. Gonna be tough for anyone who doesn’t live in the middle of Lake Ontario. Lol
  8. HRRR picking up on enhancement. But I don’t trust it. This thing will come a bit further NW and punch that warm nose in. I still probably get my first inch only to watch it get washed away. Same old storm track. It’s tough to beat.
  9. RGEM shows the critical -4 700 line a bit further north than their graphics indicate. This is gonna be close for the thruway north
  10. Decent shot at a white Christmas. With some mood stuff for festivities. This is 12z GFS So a lot of this falls after the weekend storm.
  11. Showing some lake help. Don’t get reeled in- this could still go north like NWS expects
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