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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. rochesterdave
    Epic Lake effect potential right there.
  2. rochesterdave
    Now THAT looks different!
  3. rochesterdave
    Wet blanket here. Fundamentals remain exactly the same through mid/early Jan (as far as it goes). Perhaps a touch weaker on the Aleutian heights. I wouldn’t look for anything lasting until after second week of Jan. I don’t know where this relentless optimism comes from online.
  4. rochesterdave
    Much, much less snow in Irondequoit. Only about 1/2” up here. Wild the difference a few miles makes. Areas of Monroe with almost nothing and areas over 8”.
  5. rochesterdave
  6. rochesterdave
    It’s true. The best ones aren’t forecasted. What a great surprise. 4.5” in Pittsford. Champagne powder. It’ll be a race against the warmth to see if we can make it to Christmas. Big kudos to the RGEM for being the only model to sniff it out- several runs in advance. It is far and away our best LES model. One note: the band ended further SW of what was modeled. Typically they end up a tick NE. But as everyone knows, south shore lake effect is impossible to forecast.
  7. rochesterdave
    I’ll bet someone in SW Monroe ends with 10” or so. That band is persistent
  8. rochesterdave
    Enormous flake size. This is awesome. Such a great surprise!
  9. rochesterdave
    Nice! I know the camera can never do it full justice either. The band is now just getting into mby. Really hoping it parks it for a bit. A lot of energy in this, lots of graupel mixing in.
  10. rochesterdave
    Pittsford is now back into the band. Delta wasn’t kidding. It’s for real.
  11. rochesterdave
    Definitely unusual band placement. SW Monroe county doesn’t usually win.
  12. rochesterdave
    Strong band just sitting about 3 miles to my south for the last hour. NAM wants to bring it back up into Monroe county overnight. Haven’t had much more than flurries here in Pittsford for the last 1.5 hours.
  13. rochesterdave
    RGEM was the only model that advertised this.
  14. rochesterdave
    Just surpassed 1”. The drought is over. Woohoo! Delta and airport really crushing it. Maybe get an official white Christmas at ROC?
  15. rochesterdave
    Heard Spencerport already has 2”. I bet Delta and the airport have 1”+. It’s really coming down now.
  16. rochesterdave
    Hammer time here in Pittsford! Snow globe stuff. Beautiful. Getting close!!!
  17. rochesterdave
    I’m just happy it looks like winter. Even if only for a minute. It’s been cellular in nature. It’ll snow really hard for a few minutes and then flurries. It looks better on radar.
  18. rochesterdave
    Yeah. Solid dusting. Not to an inch. Maybe.5”
  19. rochesterdave
    Not with that 1040 HP parked in the Gulf of Alaska. This is classic strong La Niña pattern right here. That CF will just wash out and reload to the west. We need a change in the Pacific to move the big players around. Right to the last frame the players are the same. Albeit a tad weaker
  20. rochesterdave
    this should get me excited.
  21. rochesterdave
    Point and click in NE Monroe county advertising half inch or less. P+C in central Wayne 1-2”. RGEM likes it but that’s about it.
  22. rochesterdave
    There are still flowers blooming in Rochester. Snap Dragons and the such. To quote Tim, “This pattern is infuriating “. I see no signs of a breakdown (in the pattern that is).
  23. rochesterdave
    This is so close. It’s just a horrible tease. Damn it! Lol
  24. rochesterdave
    Not a bad look. Maybe a white Xmas Eve?
  25. rochesterdave
    And 7-8 synoptic systems. Crazy parade of weak sliders
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