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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. Rollers like these aren’t very predictable. Pushed west to east on a rapid jet. Far different from the ones we really like with a big dip in the jet that allows them to ride south to north. It’s a rough pattern.
  2. GEFS has a very warm anomaly through Jan 4th. So still too soon to get hopeful for anything meaningful.
  3. Active storm track. It has the potential to deliver but it also has the potential to really break hearts. Most of these are sliders without buckles in the jet stream- so they won’t have beefy north-northwest quadrants of snow, they’ll have slivers. It reminds me of last years pattern where Toronto got hit several times and everyone else got rain. Hey! At least it’ll be fun to watch.
  4. I personally consider this hate speech. We already have one annoyance who routinely cheers-on warmth. We don’t need another.
  5. Let’s keep the banter on the other page. Maybe start a different one if you feel you’re being ‘unfairly’ moderated.
  6. It’ll be an epic clown map. 2’ for the entire group I’d think.
  7. Overnight warmth and heavy rain wiped out our snow. It looks like early May. Anyway, 6z GFS is advertising a true shift in the pattern. We’ll see if it’s a blip. Over 14 days away.
  8. About 25% of Monroe county should technically verify as a white Xmas. Big part of Orleans county too. But damn is it melting fast. Down to just about 1” here in Pittsford. Irondequoit is already melted. I feel like it was a Xmas miracle either way.
  9. Merry Christmas! Into the doldrums we go. I don’t see a pattern change but January climatology should allow better chances that these sliders are more white than wet.
  10. There are 3 late day Xmas miracles on the GFS ensemble time stamps from 18z . All look like this. Many more that take the 850 to the Hudson Bay Area. Lol. Just for kicks.
  11. I realize it’s nuts. But how many times have we had snowstorms trend warmer (into rain) inside of 48-72 hours? How come it can’t go the other way? I’m expecting Matt will have a good answer.
  12. Yeah. But still closer than they were. We need about 2-4F cooler over WNY. And that’s just for backside snow showers.
  13. It’s actually closer than we realize. (Not suggesting anything…..yet)
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