rochesterdave
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Everything posted by rochesterdave
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No, you are right. Lol. I think of it as kicking down on the backside of our trough. The harder it kicks the bigger the buckle. But yeah, if it’s successful it pulls it in. -
Not loving that NAM is their preferred model.
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Think we get it wrapped with a bow
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.
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Yes. I wish we didn’t still have 36-48 hours. You, Tim and I could be in for a wild ride. Going to be right on that line between deformation and sleet. We don’t have a lot of room for this to inch west. I’m convinced, as I have been, this will be a great one for Rochester. Buffalo to Syracuse still looks good with Syracuse maybe getting the dynamic shit like dryslot and sleet but still plenty of snow.
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Jesus. 977 over the Catskills! This could be epic!!!
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Here’s 0z btw.
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The kicker is flatter as compared to that big V shape it was showing at 0z.
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Yeah. There’s going to be a dryslot with this one.
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NAM is coming back into alignment with the spread. No longer a terrible outlier.
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Posted it last page
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As Tim pointed out. Some of the 6z suite is showing a colder column. I think some of this is dynamic cooling on the NW quadrant. Right over WNY. Buffalo and Rochester say, ‘what sleet’.
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Seems like the best area to be. If the deformation band hooks up with a little enhancement you could see some really special rates. 2”/hour. Which is great for synoptic. I doubt you’ll have any difficulties finding hotels so if need be you could move a little east. West is problematic due to the border. But I really don’t see this going any further west. Take lots of pics and keep us updated. Have fun bro! That’s awesome.
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Dynamic ratio. Similar to kuchie I guess
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EURO ticked colder.
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Tsunami was pretty crazy. This world is wild
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Hopefully this is our tic SE a lot of us hoped for. Starting to think last nights 0z run NAM’ed us.
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0z 18
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Almost exactly the same. The 0z pushes the heaviest a tiny smidge NW. but not a lot. 0z looks better than 18z
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Here ya go. Gotta see what the meso models show regarding the sleet issue tomorrow.
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Where I go up there, there have literally been ‘big foot’ sightings. I kid you not.
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I actually catch a Children of the Corn vibe whenever I drive through the Tug. Like, ‘please car, don’t breakdown now’. But then I wished I lived there. Conflicted
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I was speaking specifically in reference to this storm and wether it was a temp that would support snow at that level.
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Trust me. You guys class that area up. Your pickups aren’t on blocks.
