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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. Nice secondary defo would help. Tidbits keeps it mostly snow throughout for Monroe County at least.
  2. Because it’s a little better than the last few NAM runs. All I got. Lol
  3. The New HiRez GFS takes the LP primary into NW PA (believe it or not) but keeps the atmosphere pretty dang cold.
  4. This is the 12k but the 3k is going to look much different. 3k dryslots everyone except for extreme western areas. Niagara Falls on Canadian side looks to get pummeled in this scenario.
  5. Hope Buf is enjoying the game! HRR came into a little better alignment with the envelope of the cooler models after being a SE outlier at 18z. It would be good for me if I trusted it at all.
  6. HRR keeps Syracuse snow too during the heavy stuff. I think. I’m not great with soundings
  7. Couple models show a secondary defo forming inside of this over our area. But I gotta admit, I’m starting to sweat a bit. All of us are on the east side and we’ve completely run out of room now. Buffalo has that nice cushion either way. We’ve spent our cushion. Not time to panic but getting close. I can’t stand sleet and dry slot. The worst. That’s how a forecast busts. 0z meso’s will be fun!
  8. It’s easier to look at the overall field as opposed to just the point LP. It blipped west a bit. Nothing too dramatic but these blips add up for those of us living on the edge.
  9. Glad to hear they are discounting the NAM. Are we keeping both boards alive?
  10. GFS brings the LP to just east of Syracuse. Wish these would stop. Lol
  11. I’ll wait for 0z. NAM is the only model showing the shit show touching Monroe. So I hope we can stay mostly snow. But I feel ya!
  12. It looks almost identical to 12z. Hoped for that tick. No tick for you.
  13. Who knows if its true but it does seem like the models always push these west until about 36 hours and then they tick back east a little bit. It can’t be our imagination. Don’t answer that. LOL
  14. It’s gotta be the downsloping that does it. I would of been taking hard drugs for a while now if i had to endure this.
  15. Yeah, I’d guess its that double barrel thing we’ve been seeing. Not sure.
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