rochesterdave

EURO is a monster storm for New England and eastern NY. Pretty big shift west. Amped to the max.

Looking that way right now. It can change. Lots of moving parts with this one!

That weird SW feature screws the whole thing. Lol. Who knows. It was a fun 24 hours.

ICON has it too.

Yeah. It cuts of that SW energy. Looks just like the 18z GFS.

Yeah. That’s the problem with planning these ski trips back East. The mountains cost the same as western resorts but you just can’t rely on good snow. I’m at the age where I have zero interest in skiing on ice. Just none. I’d much prefer to pay 1,000 for plane tickets and get to Montana or Utah. I shouldn’t bitch. My last two trips were great but 3 years ago our trip to Killington was an absolute joke. 55F with torrential rain followed by below zero and completely dry. The worst possible conditions. Ehh, like Tom said, it’s a ways out but the freaking consistency of these models has me very concerned. Warmth is fine. It’s just the washout followed by cold that I’m already preparing myself for….

Yay. Ski trip! Un freaking believable.

Was the 18z CMC a big hit for CNY?

Wow. I hope something was very off with this run. Otherwise, that’s a wrap. Ouch

GFS 18z was a piece of shit. Lol

They can if you live in the Gennessee Valley

Really locked in. But also waaaay west of where we were 24 hours ago

It would have to move a lot west to be a rain-out. Anything is possible. I think it continues moving west but I doubt it skunks VT. I like the idea of something a little inland with a western trough. But yeah, if VT was looking at rain with snow in Roc- I’d bail too. Lol

Check the rapid change/development of banana Heights over Canada.

I like Delta’s prospects in VT. How I wish my trip there was this coming weekend as opposed to the following.

126 hours out. A lot will happen. Models pretty locked in for now

I have a good feeling. Trend is your friend

The western most members would = a big hit for all. Theres plenty of time on this one. Not saying it will happen, only that our chances went WAAAY up compared to yesterday.

Where will you be? I bet VT gets rocked. I’m going the following weekend to Stowe and Sugarbush.

The western ridge looks to be backed up a bit and there’s better blocking in the Northern Atlantic. This is coming west.

I’d be really surprised if Euro wasn’t further west tonight.

GEFS is also improved with the trough. Lots of positive changes this 0z run.

So you’re saying there’s a chance?

Yes