rochesterdave
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Everything posted by rochesterdave
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He’s a ‘fu.. your feelings’ redhat . Kick it to the banter page if you need more. Lol -
TOMBO and NWS seem to like colder. Which is a relief. My gut is screaming otherwise but my gut does have the best record. lol
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Won’t matter if it’s warm, at least as far as enhancement goes. It would matter with the suppressed scenario. I just remember all these anafrontal storms screwing us bad. Hopefully we get some south ticks
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This is the problem with that phased solution. You guys want a rain/sleet storm? Here it is…
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Who used to say this?!?
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I’ll go ice skating on Erie. What’s your favorite color so I can wear it?
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Boy, these are persistent in showing that slop storm you’re so hard about.
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Totally. In the end GFS verified the best (in my mind). I saw where it literawas on the deformation band in Boston like 5 days out. Crazy good. The models suggesting a western solution were wrong.
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GFS is actually remarkably consistent here.
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Seriously, GFS just showed him near the 2’ mark and these are his responses? How annoying…
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Me too. I’d buy, buy, buy. 4-8 over slop? You guys have got to be pulling my leg!
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Stop it. You’re being hysterical.
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Anafrontals are tough to forecast. We had a lot of them last year and the year before. Lots of disappointments. These A’s have been a lot more fun to watch. It’s pretty surprising how consistent the models have been in the last 24 hours showing a colder event. I feel like I remember lots of anafrontal systems that went very NW in the final 2 day frame. ?? My memory is not great though
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Sleet storm? No thanks
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1043 over Ontario. Such a shift from a few days ago. Love it.
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That is definitely NOT fake snow. I was just thinking this storm was another great example of why 10:1 is preferred over Kuchie in synoptic situations. Those ridiculous kuchie maps did not verify but the 10:1 sure did. still coming down in Worcester
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It seems ridiculous to be so fixated on these roll-outs but really these ARE the big money runs before they lock-in and start more ‘fine-tuning’.
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Gotta be a solid 75% cutter ratio. Hopefully the OP continues to lead.
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On top of it, GEFS has a cold bias. And OP has performed much better this season. But I’m glad IF I’m wrong about the torch. We’ve had a pretty amplified winter. Still lots of scenarios in play. But headed in a better direction to be sure.
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Do I.
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Tom, what maps do you look at for the polar vortex? The 500 vorticity? And do you look at the inner core or the outer ring(if that makes sense?)
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I don’t care. As long as it’s not an epic washout or ice. It would favor a ton of enhancement along the south shore with that NE wind. So you could get your Kuchera fix.
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My emotional health isn’t up for it. Ski trip already stressful enough. Why does it feel we are always threading the needle. I’m getting on the clipper bandwagon. Give me 2-4” or nothing instead of these volatile synoptic things.
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We could all win? Better than 0z.
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Precip comes in two waves? First rain. Second snow. Or dry. IDK. Complicated for sure. If the main LP rides the first, like GFS, we screwed.
