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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. rochesterdave
    Into the mountains of NH and VT?
  2. rochesterdave
    Some show the snow starting as early as tomorrow eve around Buffalo. NWS is convinced the entire region transitions to snow by Thursday am. But yeah, it feels like this storm should already be here. Id really feel better once we get to 12z tomorrow. Until then I’ll sweat the taint.
  3. rochesterdave
    UKIE must develop the low when it hits the coast and throws some love back?
  4. rochesterdave
    Found one for you Matt! CMC loves you
  5. rochesterdave
    I realized as soon as I hit send.
  6. rochesterdave
    It is
  7. rochesterdave
    A little surprised GFS wasn’t more amped. It definitely exhibited signs of a improved FLEX! Lol
  8. rochesterdave
    And Syracuse.
  9. rochesterdave
    Not real juicy though. Tick NW. we take
  10. rochesterdave
    Puking out some models tonight. WRF starts snow tomorrow around midnight and it goes moderate for two days. It’s a solid but manageable storm. Great track for the BUF-SYR and Tug/DAKS. 12” imo. And that might be conservative
  11. rochesterdave
    Good example of enhancement I’d expect on a NE wind. It won’t matter that tradition LES parameters aren’t perfect.
  12. rochesterdave
    HIREZ GFS is a solid storm. MESOS picking up on enhancement which I think will really happen for once.
  13. rochesterdave
    It’s really a Thursday even so I wonder if NWS BUF might hold of on Warnings or (gulp) advisories until tomorrow am? I’d love to see Warnings do up soon but I get why they’d be on the fence.
  14. rochesterdave
    I’ve been worried sick.
  15. rochesterdave
    Yep. It holds. Noice
  16. rochesterdave
    Sure is insistent. Can’t discount it but also hasn’t been great lately. Hopefully we get a GFS/NAM blend.
  17. rochesterdave
    It’s still 48 hours out (is it getting further away?) and I’d anticipate 50 miles north or south. Or more.
  18. rochesterdave
    For what it’s worth, ICON came north too. It appears our south trend has stopped cold. Also the bleeding of QPF has reversed. Good for a lot of us. Even Syracuse looking good. I still like my original call for 12” across the thruway cities.
  19. rochesterdave
    Chasing the 12z suite.
  20. rochesterdave
    Pretty much carbon copy on snowfall for thruway cities. Shifted north a tad. LP a bit better organized and north.
  21. rochesterdave
    Gonna be big.
  22. rochesterdave
    Same time!
  23. rochesterdave
    NAM looks to be further north and a touch deeper.
  24. rochesterdave
    48 hours out and narrowing down a solution as one would expect.
  25. rochesterdave
    Still a big hit for most
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