Well the Pacific flow is now surely El Niño, and it has been near weak El Niño all winter. I hate El Niño winters. They straight up suck for Rochester during my life.
I think the strong jet is a lot of our issue. Everything is progressive and if we do get a storm to catch, it’s way early.
I agree- the graphics don’t look like El Niño, but it feels like El Niño.