rochesterdave

Very little on lake shore near Rochester. Maybe an inch. Looks like Sterling did well, saw a report of 15”.

Now it’s coming down. Earlier than I expected

Nada in Irondequoit (yet)

Isn’t the new channel 10 radar awesome! Who knew Wayne county existed? Lol

She’ll find a way to get 10”

Bands from King City still oriented west to east. Bullish sign for Oswego and the “corner”

Doesn’t look to be in a hurry

I’d rather be just South of Oswego for this one. I’m thinking Hannibal, Fulton, Sodus or Syracuse. It takes a perfect flow to crush Oswego. Could be. Tough call- as always with the SE corner and South Shore. I wonder if the King will weigh in.

The streamers have a very SW orientation so far. I wouldn’t be surprised if the bullseye ends up further NE. This is often the case. I’d like to be in North Syracuse for this one. Maybe Fulton. Itll be fun to watch.

Lock that in! I’m in that little 12” band on lake shore north of Kroc. It’s happened before. I’m skeptical. Syracuse continues to look golden

That’s an aggressive and huge map. No way that many of us see6”+. I still think SYR is a lock. North Monroe the most debateable. I could see Penfield and Webster getting 0-9”. Lol

Wrong

This would be awesome. The Monroe lake shore hasn’t seen any real LES storms this year. It’s gonna be close... Syracuse looks to be a lock. Nearly perfect set up for them. Rev Racer too. BTW, conditions at Bristol were ok. Still some ice out there. I’d like to get there earlier but since I work the B shift that’s gonna be tough. Lol

I should know better than to question BuffaloWeather. He slams me with facts and figures EVERY god damn time. Lol

Hmmm. I’m shocked. I guess... It feels like an under winter. I guess we’ve been dinked and dunked to the over but I would love to see the airports measuring system. Lol. Anyhow, hoping on a bit of LES over next few days. Cause after that we are back into cutters. Off to Bristol. Anyone going?

Didn’t verify for Roc. I think we are under.

The stuff I’m seeing suggests a westerly wind event. Tug looking better and better. South shore looks out of it for now

I was thinking about how far the models have come. I started looking at these things almost 25 years ago. At first I think there were 3 or 4 available. I can remember the AVN, NGM and the Navy. The AVN (American I think) went out to 72 hrs and 120 at the 0z. But it jumped 72-84-96-120. Snowfall only went out to 48. Crazy how far they’ve come. I think it was someone from here who recently lamented that they’ve become sooo accurate it takes some of the fun out of it. Anyway, a few big wins for the old American model recently. It has outperformed the vaunted Euro by a good deal.

Right!?!? Genesee County or Cayuga... never mind they are like 60+ miles apart. The south shore stuff can’t be forecast.

Enjoy your LES! Both storms have had their dignity shredded by the progressive flow. I feel bad for the folks in Mass who just yesterday were looking at feet of snow and now are fighting for a few measley inches.

This is it!!! Lol. Any more fantasy and we’d all cease to exist. Speaking of fantasy, I’d love to see an annual snowfall map of predictions made by the para and Canadian

I know it’s out of range, but RGEM is pretty amped at 48. More than it’s 6z run, that’s for sure! I’m grasping at straws here guys. Lol

That’s all I really want. Haha

So I’ve got that going for me...which is nice

Well, I for one, won’t be celebrating the end of winter! I want snow, big snow, more snow and endless snow. So shut your traps about sunshine and warmth. Lol The Monday thing is still shrouded in unpredictable mystery. The FV3 actually shows a better phase than it has in days but it’s still too late. Tomorrows little storm is trending weaker and flatter, which should help, it’s still not a foregone conclusion. I can’t recal a time when we had more short term changes.