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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. Very common signature for a storm like this. I can’t recal one THIS late that gave REAL snow.
  2. Got the Euro? LP placement is 993 in Catskills.... gonna be intriguing
  3. Getting real interesting for later this week. Everything has come around to para. In January this would be a big one for Rochester. Pattern recognition... Still might be a big one. Especially elevation
  4. NAM is really winding it up. This could be fun to watch. It’s gonna behave differently from anything we’ve seen this year.
  5. ROC officially had 2.4” last night. I had just under an inch.
  6. PARA showing a blizzard for downstate....Holy crap that model is nuts.
  7. We are all green in Rochester. Held on until yesterday. Sad to see it go. Next winter will be something boys. Big one coming.
  8. I’m still watching. Is as close as we’ve come to a real A this season.
  9. I’d love to hear a breakdown of 66. There was supposedly a 40” storm in Rochester in 66 but I can’t find much info. Might of been 64. My Dad says snow was upto the street signs in 66.
  10. Haha. I know. I’ve got this disease of ours bad. 26 years ago today the entire EC was slammed with a blizzard of biblical proportions. I doubt any of us will ever see a storm of that magnitude again in our lifetimes. I remember nearly falling down the stairs, in excitement, when the weather channel screen went all red and declared a blizzard warning for all of NYS. Up until the day before, the storm was expected to just clip the WNY region. 24 hrs out the models adjusted west and showed the LP tracking to near Poughkeepsie, a perfect track for our area. Syracuse got over 40” and Pittsford (where I lived) had 26” on the ground by the finish. A boarded measure would of surely placed me at or above 30”. 6 years later, Rochester had a double storm that buried us with 42”in 3 days. But it still didn’t come close to the intensity and size of ‘The Storm of the Century’. Good times! I’ll have to post my pics someday. My folks have pics of the 78 storm. Folks in Rochester almost always confuse that with Buffalo’s storm of 77.
  11. Big snowfall showing up on Canadian AND Euro ensemble. IDK. You guys keep saying we’re done while I’m over here with aviation ground control lights trying to land a jumbo jet. Its still March!
  12. I agree Delta, especially here in Rochester, we never really got to scratch that itch. Its interesting that some areas had a great winter- parts of Oswego County, BUF (due solely to two week period) and especially Toronto. Other areas have been really under water: south Lake Ontario from Niagara County to Syracuse and parts of the Tug. Kind of a weird winter. Before that two week period in BUF they were really in the gutter.
  13. Euro ensembles have a 974 over kalb in just over a week. I’d give my left nut...
  14. It’s an active pattern. And there is some cold available. Unfortunately, as has been our issue all winter, the progressive jet and lack of blocking just shred everything east of Minnesota. I know some of you have been subsidized by good LES events but here in Rochester this winter has been a dud. The one big synoptic system we did have was an underperformer so it actually felt kinda like a let down. The padded numbers look ok but it’s been one of my least favorite winters in memory. I was really hoping to get a blockbuster in March but it appears we are running out of time.
  15. I see opportunities for one last good one about the third week. It’d be an unusual March to not have at least one good synoptic storm in WNY
  16. I don’t know about anyone else but I’m ready for a blizzard.
  17. Definitely further north compared to what I expected. Oswego did well. Syracuse, not so much. I knew Carol would find her way to a foot. Unbelievable. Lol
  18. Snow totals in Monroe, most of Wayne, Ontario, Orleans were on the order of less than 10% of what was forecast. Most areas received less than an inch. Worst performance IVE EVER SEEN from BUF. Aweful. I couldn’t even understand where they were getting their info? Yesterday’s broad brush down to Batavia and Geneva with 3-6” was laughable. I know the south shore is tough but come on guys! It’s the type of snowfall map I would of made when I was 12 simply because I WANTED snow. Rant over. Still like 3rd week of March for the big one. It’s coming! Lol
  19. I know, it’s progressive, but try and tell me it doesn’t have a look!!!
  20. Unbelievable that BUF has Kroc at 5” on their expected map. No model even shows an inch.
  21. Pretty good signal for EC storm in 7-12 days. This is the one. Or not.
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