rochesterdave
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Everything posted by rochesterdave
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EPS is actually VERY bullish on the BUF/IAG/ROC corridor. Hope lives for another six hours. Relies on later development of the low. -
Bunch of nice hits on EPS
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EURO actually ticked NW. it mostly held. But not what we needed…Niagara Falls still gets it
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Look at that elevation pattern!
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We are missing a powerhouse HP. The last one was like 1043 and biased east compared to this one. We need to rely on a weaker, flatter LP. The strip of good snow is very narrow with this one.
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The last storm was kind of like that. But it happened much earlier. But our SE members even got in on it at the end (or was that 2 ago?)
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I’m unreasonably excited for the 18z EURO. I’ve got this bug bad!
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Couple odd balls in there. Like two storms???
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Tons of sleet as snow but quite the shift
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And….there goes the GFS. We need more but great trend
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Cave to UKIE/EURO?!?
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You are best positioned of our New Yorkers.
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Yep. One more 50 mile shift and it gets real.
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I’d think you still need it south from the consensus. Toronto definitely on the rain/snow line
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18z HRRR well south
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Wish the EURO was still good. A number of solid members on EPS. Several with a GFS look too. But dang….this is REAL close.
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I think it’s counting rain as snow:)
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Points for persistence
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You’ve got to be kidding me
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I mean… it is headed in the right direction. Just at a snails pace. Check the trend of the last 6 GFS.
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My stats from last Monday at Sugarbush
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Have fun!
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Totally agree. This one sailed a couple days ago. I always felt the GFS has a good handle on it. And yeah, I’d bet it moves 25-50 northwest as opposed to SE. I’ll still be watching it though.
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You are in for a treat! Gonna be some flooding at this rate. I can’t imagine there’s less than 3” in the Rochester snow pack.
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All the models locked in with storm just across the border. EURO is still the closest (other than Ukmet). IDK. Wouldn’t take a ton to move it 50 miles. Not counting on it though.
