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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. My numbers: Buf: 10 Niagara: 13” Roc: 9” SYR: 4” Fulton: 8” Mix comes close to Thruway BUF-Roc
  2. Sorry for the terrible resolution. Pulled from Twitter
  3. Jesus! That’s nuts.. Closest thing I ever experienced was a meso low that rolled ashore at 3am. Might not of been that strong tho. Your vis looks to be about 50 feet which is insane. 4”/hour?
  4. Look up skew t sounding Tim. The x axis shows the temperature profile (Follow at angle) while the y shows the height. Where they cross is the expectation. You want all lines to be under 0 (or -4 to be safe) for snow. thats my basic understanding. Had to learn it to keep the Fulton people from making a monkey outta me.
  5. Yeah, with the 700 temps being just cold enough, they will be smaller, crystally flakes. I was a little surprised to see Buf discount enhancements as every model is picking up on it. I think we will see more than an inch or two of enhancement. Agree it will be second half.
  6. It’s a beautiful thing! Still gotta watch the -4 line on the 700 levels. We should be golden Tim.
  7. How’s this for funny? Last week I purchased an Ariens Snow blower. Delivery set for Tuesday. I’m thinking I’m gonna rent a Uhaul trailer tomorrow and pick it up. I used to love shoveling but the old back had other plans. Hate to miss the opportunity to blow 5-10 to break it in. Anyone know the standard size ball for a hitch? I had one for my old Saab but left it in the trunk when I gave her away. Stupid.
  8. A little early in the season to be pissing off the Fulton clan. Relax boys.
  9. Canadian still with the NW moves. Let the panic begin lol
  10. Interesting to note that SREF plumes decreased (average) from the 3z-6z for kroc. Several members dragging it down. I’d suspect they are tainting or more likely dry slotted. just something to watch.. forecast looks pretty locked in for Buf-Roc-SYR (north anyway).
  11. My P+C is 1-3 and 4-8. WSW territory. What ever. First storm. You’d think they’d be jumping the gun if anything. IDK. They are usually pretty good.
  12. They shoulda done it. They are being hardheaded because the forecast didn’t go as they planned.
  13. It’s rare for a Synoptic storm to outdo 10:1. Those kucheras are for the sick junkies. (whispers to Wolfie: keep them coming).
  14. the NW trend is becoming a problem for Syracuse AND Rochester with a couple products. HRDPS and ICON (here). Not so much mixing as dry slotting. Surface LP near Erie. It’s always something. RGEM, NAM and GFS all look a bit more SE.
  15. BUF maintained their same, conservative take on their early morning update. Verbatim 3-6” Hard to see their thinking.
  16. Looks good for Phoenix/ Fulton. Closer to Syracuse is getting tighter. Probably pull back tomorrow. Oscillation
  17. CMC pretty far NW. But still all snow for most of us. We can stop the NW trend now...
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