Delta, the other thing that u mentioned is important. The LP will be rapidly deepening as it passes East of us. Deepening lows always have surprising dynamics and a colder NW quadrant.
im in agreement, this is a fascinating scenario. I’m not sure anyone can be sure.
Anywhere east of Roc is screwed. Too close to the track. Roc is touch and go. I think enough cold air gets drawn in plus dynamic cooling. SYR in the screw zone...Matt...need I say more? Lol
I truly believe this is gonna be big. All depends on changeover timing. Diurnal warming is negligible. Once it turns, it’ll accumulate. I expect warning amounts Rochester west. Bristol hills could see BIG totals. I’m also seeing enhancement signatures along the south shore in some of the ensembles.
I love a late breaker. All said, it could fall apart nearly as easily.
Obviously track dependent. The region 125-150 west of the LP is golden. BUF is way behind the curve on this one. Or, I’ll be made to look like an optimistic monkey- again.
I’ve had the luckiest week of my life. Passed my MR Registry (medical imaging board), got an unexpected raise, had a great trip to Chicago.
If this thing happens, after jumping on it early, I’ll go buy a bunch of lottery tickets.