rochesterdave

Band coming ashore doesn’t hVe any punch in Irondequoit. Barely a flurry even though it appears, from radar, to be over us. Weird. Dry I guess.

Lower heights look to set up in the four corners region and screw us until at least 2nd week of January? Ouch.

Squall about to come ashore in Monroe. Kinda sad. After this next few hours we are in for a long spell of nothing. Hopefully something pops up?

Not a lot of sudsidence (?) time?

None of the models (save RGEM) excited for LES overnight. Obviously, that doesn’t mean much for a NW flow.

Looks like areas just inland now, on the ridge, are getting hit the hardest. Getting lots of divergent reports throughout Monroe, from not much to my near 4” in Irondequoit.

That’s wild. All different eddies and mesos!!

Pics don’t do it justice!!! Tim nailed it. He has a feel for lake stuff in this area.

Got crushed in Irondequoit. Surprised I didn’t hear thunder. 3” in two hours. Most of it in 45 mins. <500’ visi. DEATH BAND

You’ve got a good sense for these things. Personally, I don’t see it at all. I’ll be happy with 2-3”.

King radar showing the Georgian band developed on a 330 trajectory.

Sweet! That’d be my real estate

Little squall in Irondequoit

I’m in love

The front just passed through Toronto with near 0 visi. Next few should be interesting.

Might be another one firing up over the middle of the lake. I see some rotation. Headed due East.

Jesus! You lucky bastard. It was slow moving too! Meso lows are the best. I was in one big one a few years back. One of the best memories. 20 foot vis

WRF lost its love for kroc. What happened to my 7? Lol 1.4 sounds about right.

We are junkies. And you’re the dealer. Haha

NWS likes the south shore set up. Advisory posted. I personally think the winds are a little too strong (although forecast wind speed has been reduced). My best events happen with a very light N/NW/NE wind and a sagging front. Usually wind within the band will turn south. It’s a super microclimate kind of thing. Rochester LES is next to impossible to forecast. Been a while since we had a good one! This set up is best for inland- Penfield/ Wakeorth/Palmyra/Fairport. Hannibal and Syracuse too (obviously).

WTF is the 3k seeing. 13” at kalb and nearly a foot just East of BUF?

1” in Irondequoit 2.5” in Pittsford

HRR did a good job catching the early end.