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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. rochesterdave
    You can figure the wind direction by placement of the shadows.
  2. rochesterdave
    There it goes
  3. rochesterdave
    We live in a crazy part of the world. You could drive from 0 to 100 in a couple hours.
  4. rochesterdave
    Snowing moderately in Pittsford.
  5. rochesterdave
    RGEM looks pretty solid.
  6. rochesterdave
    Wow. HRR and NAM 3k are super depressing for BUF-SYR. Like NO snow at all. Ouch. Hope they’re wrong. Knowing this winter, they will be on the mark.
  7. rochesterdave
    I agree. That’s odd placement. Either north or south. 50/50. Looks like this might come in a tick colder than I originally thought. A bit different than the last couple. We shall see. GFS consistency is remarkable with precip. You north country guys looking pretty good all around. We’ve built a 2-3” base here in Rochester. Starting to look like winter.
  8. rochesterdave
    We need a major PV disruption. In a way I’m kind of happy the change has been delayed. I’ll be ok if this pattern sticks until after my Western Ski vacation. For a minute it looked like the pattern was gonna flip just in time for my flights- which would’ve driven me back to the bottle. Lol
  9. rochesterdave
    And there’s our HP doing it’s best to outrun the LP. Crazy. Obviously, we need major changes upstream to disrupt this devil shit.
  10. rochesterdave
    Canadian staying with the far south LP. Almost over ROC. Wow. Can we get another 25 miles south? It also results in NW flow almost immediately. Big differences in the models with these two variables (wind flow and track). Big implications for BUF-Roc. Id go with the NAM, a bit north with a w-wsw flow following passage. But dang, cmc would be great for the south shore.
  11. rochesterdave
    It’s been snowing heavily in Pittsford for the last hour. We can do really well on N winds. Dry air be damned. It’s almost always missed by models. Wouldn’t be surprised to see Kroc get 2-4,3-6 on MONDAY.
  12. rochesterdave
    That LP is pretty far South. Looks to go over Toronto. Can we get another nudge?
  13. rochesterdave
    I follow Judah. He provides more contradictory evidence than anyone. Check his blog, he’s calling for a warm February.
  14. rochesterdave
    And they didn’t get that.
  15. rochesterdave
    0z actually looks better. Refreshing.
  16. rochesterdave
    Big HP just east of NYC pumping in the heat
  17. rochesterdave
    Jackson Hole. It’s been 25 years since I was there. Thanks for the optimism. The reason I’m going there is because the East has gotten so unreliable. Last year at Killington, I February, we had torrential rains. Luckily, JH has built up a tremendous base so that won’t be an issue. The altitude and dry air can keep a good packed powder upto 40. So I’m still hopeful. Just a bit nervous when I see the EURO advertising the entire 48 above freezing for my dates
  18. rochesterdave
    That’s just perfect!
  19. rochesterdave
    So we push off until at least the second week in February. The warmth even finding a way to impact my Jackson Hole trip. Im really becoming depressed with this shit. I’m impressed with those of you finding ways to keep it fun and light. I gotta try and just look at it as funny. At this point winter is straight up trolling us.
  20. rochesterdave
    Bare ground here. Couple squalls moved through earlier but it gone.
  21. rochesterdave
    Lucky if we see the ground covered between now and then.
  22. rochesterdave
    Looks like a familiar set up. I wouldn’t get your hopes up.
  23. rochesterdave
    Nothing in Irondequoit. Crazy
  24. rochesterdave
    Reading on twitter that the troposphere now looks like crap for February. With signs pointing towards little winter-like weather over E US. Ive noticed a pessimist turn in almost all the Mets over the last couple days. What once looked like a lock now looks tentative at best. We were due a full miss. But anyone not seeing the GW implications is just willfully closing their eyes. This is not normal. Kinda makes me feel sick.
  25. rochesterdave
    NAM 0z came in like hot garbage. Looks like a couple big nothing burgers.
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