rochesterdave

GFS sticking to its story. Crazy.

Those look like perfect conditions

I love how they end that nonsense with an optimistic little bit on heating bill savings. Like bro, I’d gladly triple my heating bill to get one good week. Besides, does anyone put any faith in the LR when 4 days out has been a continual source of disappointment? I’d sooner trust a Gypsy with a deck of cards and a crystal ball.

GFS has been very insistent.

I was wondering where you went.

Looking at the ensembles from 12z, I’m liking the cooler, less amplified trend. With some luck we could end up on the good side of the boundary. That reduces the chance of a blockbuster but keeps us in the white as opposed to the green.

12z GEFS look less amped on the ridge- I don’t know. Why am I doing this to myself. Lol.

No HP

So Ukmet runs the storm straight north from there? IDK. I agree with vortmax, I’m happy to see a bomb this far SE, anything less than that SHOULD be further East. Gosh, this thing is nerve wracking.

It’s hard to see a cut like the Canadian during this train of events. But it sure does feel right....Hope for weaker...

Actually, quite a lot of good ones. IDK. This winter has made us all so pessimistic. It’s like despite some good evidence, we all know just what is about to happen and it aint good.

I count at least 2 that give us a storm. Lol. Honestly, that huge bunch in NW Ontario is worrisome.

I don’t know why the morning freak out. Jeez. GFS 6z looks like it has for last 3 days. Euro has been bouncing around and WPC looks ideal. Yeah, it could all goto crap but right now it’s at least a coin toss.

Do I stay up for the 0z? Or just wack myself in the nuts and call it good?

We must be looking at different things. That was one of the best runs all winter for a lot of this forum. Not that it will happen. Lol

Well, this would be about as good as it gets. I feel like I’m holding my breath. I wish we didn’t have a track record of 1/10....

Canadian has been remarkably stable with its westward depiction of next weeks storm. It would be an absolute disaster for my ski trip (just like last year). You simply can’t plan a ski trip in the east anymore.

Next week is gonna be interesting. With our luck we end up with three messes. CN we get lucky just once? This progressive flow is annoying. Anything that has any potential is strong so it catches too soon and cuts. The weaker ones slide south. So it’s damned if you do and damned if you don’t. At this juncture, I’d take weak sliders. It’s tough to see a big one catching at the right time. It’s easy to see on the ensembles, the deeper LP’s are NW while the weaker ones are South. At least we have stuff to track!

It sure feels like the 80’s. It’s gonna be close for those of us in the Dacks over the next week or so.

Pretty much. It just likes to F with us.

Porn

I’ll take it! Miller A

Every year a pattern gets formed. Those tracks are laid and don’t think they get moved. Some exceptions but for the most part you get what you had.

Euro coming in interesting. Can we get a rally?

Cohen throwing in the towel. About time.