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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. Hard to figure the lack of a phase. Looking at just the radar it looks like a beast
  2. It’s hard to discount BUF because they are so good but I don’t quite see it. The track is good for enhancement but that’s not what they are excited about. In fact, they mention a minima along the south shore and a maxima from BUF to just south of the thruway through Ontario and Livingston. It’ll be fun to see this play out
  3. Just read the disco and as Thinksnow said, BUF is super bullish on this little storm. Toyed with raising warning flags a couple times in disco and suggested very effective snowfall rates/ parameters. They love talking about the exit jet etc....
  4. I think it’s ridiculous. But we’ll see. I mean, how does Rochester and BUF get 8-12??? I’m thinking 3-5 total TOTAL.
  5. I try and ignore the precip maps and focus on the track and strength. It’s tough. I too hope for clown maps.
  6. Precip does look a bit anemic. Typical pull back inside the 36 hr time frame.
  7. NAM looked good, stronger and north. HRRR looked fine. It was never a blockbuster. Some of us can never get enough.
  8. HRRR did sooo poorly with the last one. Had the mix line 100+ miles NW of its eventuality
  9. East side easily doubled or tripled that 4”. I’ve heard that from several people too. When I returned, on Monday, from my trip there was evidence of a much bigger storm than what the airport reported. Weird.
  10. Interestingly, P&C has heavy snow listed for Thursday night (at times). The disco is still downplaying the lake response.
  11. Euro came in a touch lower and a tiny bit SE. like the rest
  12. GEM and GFS remain good hits. All the big models did better on the last one with positioning. No? Curious to see the Euro. As always.
  13. Intensity and moisture are being stripped away from this one. Looking more like a 2-4 event as opposed to anything significant. It’ll be nice to not worr about mixing . Ratios will suck- like others said.
  14. I wonder if there will be more phasing allowing this to move further NW?
  15. My friends were talking just Friday. I think the east side of Monroe had significantly more snow than west side. Makes sense.
  16. Pittsford and Webster both had over 10” of snow on Friday according to accurate friends of mine. The Pittsford measurement was nearly a foot. Not sure how the airport came in with that tiny amount... Roc measurements are so weird.
  17. Lots of pieces here. They could come together. Not doing it here.
  18. Pretty fun hill. Definitely challenging in the powder. One thing I appreciated was not waiting in lift lines other than maybe 10 mins for the Gondola. I liked the blues under the facelift chair. Wilmington was blown off and a touch icy surprisingly. Cute town, huh?
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