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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. Big changes on GFS. Yeah baby. Getting super interesting
  2. Toronto’s tiny annual snowfall has always astounded me. They get about half or less from everyone else
  3. I’m just setting myself up but some really solid hits on SREF
  4. Unless we can get another bump south (125 miles or so) I totally agree. Never good to be in the SE quadrant. Trend is our friend. The GFS has moved the primary 300 miles south in the last 72 hours.
  5. Heavy snow in Niagara region just across the border. Tight
  6. Looking at this, one would think Roc is nearly a lock. I’m currently expecting VERY little. But it’s a fun one to watch for sure! A couple of those are BIG HITS. Lol
  7. Classic Tug set up. The stuff that would just destroy a south shore event only serves to aid them. I mean THOSE WINDS!!!
  8. Euro is actually VERY close to a real storm. Couple more ticks south. The big snows are now just north of Ontario and a very vigorous secondary spins up just where we want it
  9. The synoptic portion is weird. It is still anybody’s game.
  10. Hahaha! Super cool! Enjoy your youth man, I was thinking how dangerous that was. Which is a stupid thing to worry about. I love your friends reaction at the end!
  11. Weird that the primary hangs on and yet heavy snow? I don’t buy the exact depiction but I think we are looking at something intriguing to be sure
  12. Navy would be a decent snowstorm for all. Of course, it’s the Navy
  13. Canadian looks weird. This ones not baked yet. I wonder if there will be any clown ensembles (synoptic). There’s lots of possibilities with this weirdo set up.
  14. NAM popping the secondary off the NJ coast. I have no idea what this thing does. Best case scenario for WNY is heavy burst of snow as secondary drives up the Hudson Valley. IDK how the Ukmet is seeing over a foot in Niagara County??? I guess enhanced stuff on a northerly flow? 1% chance
  15. Weird track. It actually retrograde west once north of us. This woulda been a hell of a storm if it was 250 miles SE. Those retrograde jobs hold the moisture, allowing LES to really ramp up. East of the lakes still looking great
  16. Yeah, but if a vigorous secondary spins up in SE PA, we’d stand a chance. I’m not saying it’s gonna happen but it’s a fairly common Springtime occurrence. I’ll be watching for accumulation in Wyoming county at the very minimum if GFS solution
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