Unless we can get another bump south (125 miles or so) I totally agree. Never good to be in the SE quadrant. Trend is our friend. The GFS has moved the primary 300 miles south in the last 72 hours.
Looking at this, one would think Roc is nearly a lock. I’m currently expecting VERY little. But it’s a fun one to watch for sure! A couple of those are BIG HITS. Lol
Euro is actually VERY close to a real storm. Couple more ticks south. The big snows are now just north of Ontario and a very vigorous secondary spins up just where we want it
Hahaha! Super cool! Enjoy your youth man, I was thinking how dangerous that was. Which is a stupid thing to worry about.
I love your friends reaction at the end!
Canadian looks weird. This ones not baked yet.
I wonder if there will be any clown ensembles (synoptic).
There’s lots of possibilities with this weirdo set up.
NAM popping the secondary off the NJ coast. I have no idea what this thing does. Best case scenario for WNY is heavy burst of snow as secondary drives up the Hudson Valley. IDK how the Ukmet is seeing over a foot in Niagara County??? I guess enhanced stuff on a northerly flow? 1% chance
Weird track. It actually retrograde west once north of us. This woulda been a hell of a storm if it was 250 miles SE. Those retrograde jobs hold the moisture, allowing LES to really ramp up. East of the lakes still looking great
Yeah, but if a vigorous secondary spins up in SE PA, we’d stand a chance. I’m not saying it’s gonna happen but it’s a fairly common Springtime occurrence.
I’ll be watching for accumulation in Wyoming county at the very minimum if GFS solution