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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. rochesterdave
    The synoptic looks like a bust. Enjoy the lake effect up on the tug you three people
  2. rochesterdave
    GFS ticked back East by a click. Rochester still right on the cutoff. Wyoming County probably does well especially in elevated areas.
  3. rochesterdave
    We have a new thread guys.
  4. rochesterdave
    Sure did. We can hope. It’s a spring thing, anything can happen
  5. rochesterdave
    NAM continues to be unimpressed.
  6. rochesterdave
    It’s not over yet
  7. rochesterdave
    Here we go!
  8. rochesterdave
    Definitely a click or two west. One run. BUF and IAG still look to jackpot. Areas South of BUF in double lollipop zone. 2 feet plus!
  9. rochesterdave
    I think there will be adjustments right up until go time!
  10. rochesterdave
    Ouch for Roc
  11. rochesterdave
    18z NAM pretty meh for synoptic portion over WNY. Curious to see if GFS collapses it’s blizzard
  12. rochesterdave
    Cutoff right through Monroe County. Gonna be a close call. I bet NWS hoists Watches one county west.... The East ticks have stopped. For now...
  13. rochesterdave
    GFS ensembles have had this for 3 days. Gonna be fun to see how it plays out!
  14. rochesterdave
    Canadian moves primary 100 miles east between 0z and 12z.
  15. rochesterdave
    Roc is most likely mix. I’m talking IAG and BUF (maybe). Definitely a lot of moving parts. GFS overdone but it gives a good idea if everything comes together.
  16. rochesterdave
    Synoptically, it’s a decent set up for IAG at least. Euro and Ukie have shown it for a couple runs now. LE set up is very bad for Roc and BUF (city north)
  17. rochesterdave
    Our big storm a couple weeks ago ended up considerably further east than programmed, including the Binghamton area as a last minute surprise. With the constant progressive nature of the track this year, I wonder if this might end up a hundred miles east too?
  18. rochesterdave
    850’s good for only extreme WNY
  19. rochesterdave
    GFS actually ticked NW on LP track
  20. rochesterdave
    Well, BUF is gonna HAVE to take notice. Watches go up.
  21. rochesterdave
    It’s a monster for BUF and IAG.
  22. rochesterdave
    It’s gonna be close for Rochester. Ultimately, I gotta believe the models, best thermals just N and W. It’s a heartbreak and I’m gonna be hoping on ‘dynamic cooling’ whatever that is.
  23. rochesterdave
    3k NAM finally on board. Looks like route 390 might be the dividing line (unusual). West of it could do quite well. Strong dynamics with this one.
  24. rochesterdave
    Hour 54 has BUF at 29. The 18z had it at 42
  25. rochesterdave
    Heavy snow knocking on Buffalos door
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