rochesterdave

GFS/ Canadian not having it. Ensembles for kicks?

For giggles. Lookout BUF

Still have chances for one of these fast movers to catch at the right time. Doesn’t look like anything big. We never stood a chance this winter. Those of you who pointed out the indices being crap were right. Each season I learn something new. This time it was the importance of indices and annual trends. If I end up getting that second home in the Dacks, I’ll have 19/20 to thank. I’m not sure I could tolerate another one like this. IT WAS UGLY! God speed friends. Y’all are eloquent as **** and argue good points.

Not to mention the FED keeping the borrow rate unnaturally low- due to Trumps constant influence. We shoulda had rates near 5% and we shoulda been chipping away at the deficit. Instead, we blew it up. Ugh

I’ll bite regarding national health care. You say 4 trillion per year but I ask how much do we already spend? I’ve got a single policy through work that is relatively cheap; it costs me 340/ month. It costs my work a similar amount (slightly more actually) 425. The total is 765x12x300,000,000 Americans=2.75T We will be spending roughly that regardless of who administers. My argument is that the government (Medicare) has done a good job of it with 3% overhead. Private insurance takes 10% off the top and that’s only because it’s limited by Obama Care. Everyone gets healthcare currently, in our society. The question is: how should it be administered. Who and how should we pay. If you don’t have health insurance and come to the hospital, they will attend to you. They will file for emergency Medicaid and if you don’t qualify, they’ll bill you. If you don’t pay (you won’t be able to) they’ll send it to collections which WILL destroy you for 8 years or so. All for a heart attack. Next you might say, “yeah, but I don’t want a government board deciding what care I can get”. I’d rather have a government board deciding my fate than a ‘for profit’ corporation. A government board is essentially elected by us. There’ll always be anecdotal evidence regarding care but the best evaluation are metrics that can be compared. The US doesn’t fair well in these metrics. It’s trite but why should we be the only advanced country without single payer? We can accomplish this. I too am concerned about debt (Trump just floated a .85T stimulus plan) but we can save in other areas. I’d start with the military. But that’s a whole nuther convo

I’m reluctant to make this political but I think we are seeing what happens when an anti science guy withno appetite for learning is confronted by a global health crisis. A situation like this can make or break a politician. It might be old news by November but I’m starting to think the economy is gonna take a while. Im still buying stocks. IVV SAN and QQQ today.

Great point. It could come around again, post containment in US. Hopefully we’ll have a vaccine by then.

And there it is. It’s coming...

If you got the trip insurance (smart!) I’d go that route. I’d be shocked if they gave you any trouble. Good luck and sorry. Look at it as a delay.

The one time we don’t need a HP..... Late month is a time of great interest. Things lining up nicely I think. A tiny bit late climatologically but don’t forget, 27 years ago today we saw 2 feet down to Georgia- so don’t rule anything out. We never got a blockbuster this year. We are due!!!

If we could get the timing right on one of these trans continental LP’s we could actually get a snow storm.

I researched the Spanish Flu several years ago (before it was cool) because I was heading up the flu vaccine campaign in the imaging department at RGH. That was a fascinating virus! Old folks actually had a better mortality because they had been alive when a similar strain had traversed the planet. Young people were vulnerable and died by the millions. The overall mortality rate was an astonishing 6% (if I remember correctly) but closer to 10% in the 20-35 cohort. Just incredible. Which is a good argument for getting every annual flu vaccine. Even if it is wrong it could still protect you years down the road. I just purchased 10k in S&P ETF IVV. I’ll be making several more purchases of the like in the weeks to come. This isn’t a recession, it’s a panic. I love being a part of this group. I can get more info here just reading a few posts. I’m thinking, “just wait til the statistic nerds get ahold of this topic on AWX”, lol. Thanks guys!

Dang. This thing feels hot. And I’m not prone to hysteria. Markets gonna tank today. Only upside is that I’ve been sitting on a bit of cash for a few years now (I expected the market to tank under Trump) and now I might get an opportunity to jump in.

I’m starting to rethink this whole ‘working in a hospital’ thang. Good knowing ya playas. We’ll probably be laughing about this in a few weeks. Perhaps it’ll create a new saying, ‘don’t go corona on us’.? Right now it feels kinda nuts....

I went upto Whetstone Gulf State Park. On Friday, they still had 2-3 feet. It sits on the east side of the plateau. Looks like a great place to hike, snow shoe or snow mobile. Easily accessible from Lowville which was hanging on to very little snow. It’s amazing what 10 miles and some elevation gets you. My buddies camp is about 20 minutes from Whetstone. Snow Ridge is very close but a bit lower and further south. Snow Ridge was hanging on to just over a foot. Brantingham Lake has 18” in the shade. The Tug is a different world.

I’m starting to think that’s it. I can’t believe we aren’t gonna get a March storm but this winter made anything possible. Good riddance! I think it was Delta who noticed the trends and said we were due a dud. And Freak and Syrmax both figured it out quick. I was stuck on hopeful all winter- which made it worse...

The Trump guy of the bunch chimes in

Eastern Tug and Western Dacks still have loads of snow. 18”+ in many areas. Unbelievable after a week of warm rain

I can’t really get a grasp on tomorrow’s system. I think the Syracuse/ Tug area are getting downsloped from the Dacks. That and being on the NE side of best dynamics. Could be some surprises. It’s nothing big but someone might get a few inches in the hills. 12z NAM 3k had a stripe of 6”+ over the Tug but backed off on 18z

You ok?

Yeah Wolfie! I’ll be up your way and skiing at Snow Ridge on Saturday. I’d love to see a couple fresh inches. It would feel like a miracle. They have had a little snow this week. The cam out of Brantingham shows 18” of snow remaining. I have no idea how that much stayed after this last week. Snow ridge is on the very eastern edge of the tug, so it’s gonna be tight.

Let’s tease the coastal folks for a run or two first

Any snow left?

Tug still looks good. If it can survive today should be ok? I think. We both picked a crap weekend to go. Last weekend would’ve been perfect. Oh well. Might get a little fresh stuff but looks like western Dacks get downsloped