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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. rochesterdave
    Sad
  2. rochesterdave
    Anyone have the EURO yet??
  3. rochesterdave
    Talk about consistency! Even the NW brush is gone. This is gonna be hard to stomach. I still think a NE flow off Ontario can get us a few inches.
  4. rochesterdave
    BuffWeather is just feeling bitter. I don’t blame him. It’s been two years since they’ve had any lake effect snow. Lol
  5. rochesterdave
    It’s already been stated but the thing that could save areas along the I90 are the ENE-NW winds with this. We should end up with considerable enhancement. These ones with a large NW coverage usually do good in Rochester. Doesn’t look like we’ll be into the big stuff (it’s early!) but I’m thinking 6” is sure possible. The thing that could hurt us is the HP. It’s not so much the NW extent that’ll limit us but the Northern latitude gain. We are kind of in it with Boston. We want the same trends they want.
  6. rochesterdave
    Big city weenies getting excited. That’s usually good for some laughs.
  7. rochesterdave
    Rain or whiff. It’s gonna be that kind of winter. Good times
  8. rochesterdave
    Pretty classic set up for ROC. Wish it wasn’t the EURO vs the rest tho
  9. rochesterdave
    Yeah, I’ve been thinking on that. It’s the driving pacific jet that keeps screwing us. Positive EPO is killing us. All the cold is bisectected and bottled up in the north of Canada. We need some sustainable buckles.
  10. rochesterdave
    What happened to the king?
  11. rochesterdave
    This is the feature I’ve been watching too.
  12. rochesterdave
    Some of them are nice. IDK. It’s an active but anemic pattern. We’ll need everything to come together just so.
  13. rochesterdave
    GFS is just depressing.
  14. rochesterdave
    ICON is weak sauce
  15. rochesterdave
    Small differences. Unimportant this far out. I’m just glad it’s still there and not a cutter.
  16. rochesterdave
    My work has told me to prepare to receive the Pfizer vaccine next Wednesday! Couldn’t be more excited to get a shot!
  17. rochesterdave
    Looks like a big Buffalo band. I’ll bet it was sunny in Rochester. It always is while you get it big-time!
  18. rochesterdave
    Pretty astonishing, the Canadian, the German and the American all see the same storm, on the same day, with huge outputs, in the same area, this far out. This is rare. Very rare. Sometimes they grab on to big ones like this all together. I think it bodes well. It’s gonna get interesting.
  19. rochesterdave
    They all have something. Another one to watch! Given the lack of any big changes, I’d watch for it to trend to the La Nina alley way- straight up through Ontario Province.
  20. rochesterdave
    Roc nicely coated. Coming down. Sad to see BUF at 36 with rain?
  21. rochesterdave
    I think the thought was that they came in threes? With this one potentially being the last crap one. I believe in the cycles. So far it’s panning out. Certainly we are looking at better odds of a below normal winter at this juncture. Possibly well below normal. Cut a couple Christmas trees today! A tiny swath of snowpack exists in a narrow band through SE Monroe county (Fairport-Victor). Only about a mile wide and only 1/2” deep but it helps with the mood.
  22. rochesterdave
    GFS moves the cutter by several hundred miles south. A good step
  23. rochesterdave
    My issue is that they don’t learn. Well not really learn, but correct. A huge government model should review its forecasts and see they are continually over forecasting snow and cold and adjust. They simply don’t.
  24. rochesterdave
    Toronto can be tough. Amazing the difference from one side of the lake to the other. You guys get sneaky lake effect every so often. I didn’t know about the 62”!!! That’s epic for any region
  25. rochesterdave
    We did have a 14” last November. And a 12” in February. Both last year. But I hear ya. Stick around. Synoptically, Rochester cashed in a lot. Coupled with the NE wind on the backside we can do really well. In 1999 we had 41” in 2 storms that happened over 3 days. The Storm of the Century dumped 2 feet inside of 12 hours. The Snowicane dumped 24”+ on Northern sections. But you’re right, 6-12” storms are more common.
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