rochesterdave

RGEM performed well again. NAM products had it too far south (shocker!).

Hannibal always cashed in with these SE Ontario bands!

Literally the coldest frame on the 18z GFS. I guess you’re referring to the 850’s but I see mild weather not a cold dump. Show me what I’m missing?

Those brights are really showing up! Hope u get nailed.

Nice! You live up there? I remember coveting that location as a kid. At one time people thought it was the snow capital of the Great Lakes. Before Carol found the honey pot.

WRF would be a shocking surprise for ROC lake shore and Wayne county.

RGEM’s been killing it this winter. Ride it hard.

Earlier last week I jokingly wrote, “look out Chicago!” because I expected the then awesome looking snow potential to drift a little west, “indices being what they are”. Welp, here it is. Look out Minneapolis!

There is no cold on any frame of the 6z GFS run on Tidbits. ,?

One storm. You can see it’s signature. Roc and SYR left out so far

The best month is always one after the current month. In equation form: current month+1 month =best month worst month is easier: current month/1= worst month

I honestly don’t know why anyone pays any heed to these in the last two years. They’ve been utterly useless. Wasn’t just a week ago everyone was getting excited for January?

Good depiction of why the last one cut. Look at the heights of the NE coast!

How disgusting. No cold.

Have you ever been up to the radar tower? Is it near the solar farm?

Go ahead and bitch. Nobody can blame you. Well... actually some of us do blame you. Seriously though, it’s been a tough time to live in Syracuse or Rochester as snow lovers. We do best in deep, cold winters with persistent NW flow- those winters might be gone. This pattern favors transient systems with quick, violent fronts. We need a winter that settles in with a deep eastern trough and an Alaskan ridge. If it wasn’t for blocking (at least that’s something) the raging pacific would be serving up exactly the same as we had last year. And that was bad enough. One of these storms should turn at the right longitude. This pattern is also good for a retrograde storm like Tim and I always dream about- get one to spin up in the atlantic then back in to the Adks and stall. Opportunities but these things only leave 50 mile swaths...

Nice! Wow! You did almost as well as N Redfield.

I’m guessing you got skunked with the last one? Ontario never fired up the way we hoped...

I’ve seen about 6” of snow this entire season. Nothing on the models through first week in January. Wow!!! This is like the early 80’s.

I think it’s only a wish. With these indices it’s nearly impossible to think this won’t cut more (like EURO And Canook show). But, hey! Ya never know.

Send the link

It’s got a long ways to go. Look out Chicago!!!

That looks familiar

Wrapping up

It’s like childhood dream. On the damn Weather Channel!!!!