rochesterdave

LP goes right over you. Snow to Sleet and then dry slot would be the best to hope for. Obviously. Good luck bro. We lost our angry inch yesterday. I bought a snowblower 13 months ago and I’ve used it twice. Maybe I should drive it to Cleveland?

Connecticut and Canton will have snow. Up here in Rochester? Yep. Rain. Fuuuuuuuk

Toronto on the edge. NY force fields up.

Yep

Super cool! Thanks for uploading the radar fro BUF also.

Toronto could be close. Classic faux sleet signal south of the lake.

So close Wolfie!

Drive it like ya stole it!

RGEM came in a smidge warmer. Unfortunate for our Eastern Ontario counties. It’s just too warm on this one. At least the mountains look good.

Right up the lake plains. Count on it. Even with a secondary. Syracuse can hang on sometimes

Coldest frame on 6z GFS. Looks like the long range graphic Buf Weather posted yesterday (I think). The rest (and this frame, if I’m being honest) is a train wreck. I see no signs of hope. It would be more of what we are looking at this weekend- slop. I wish I could just throw away this winter and look forward to pool weather or wind events- it’s just not in my DNA. Snow is my only drug when it comes to weather.

I’ve never been. It’s an area I’d love to check out. Maybe a trip to Vancouver and then Lake Louis ski areas!

Great point!

NW cams. Out of Vancouver mountains https://cypressmountain.com/nordic-conditions-and-cams looks like 8” fresh. They’re in line for a couple feet coming up

Found this regarding the Alaskan trough: The effects of a +EPO pattern features a persistent and deep trough over the western third of the CONUS and a Ridge over the Southeast US. Temperatures over the central and eastern portions of the CONUS are likely to feature Above normal and possibly Much Above Normal as a +EPO pattern cuts off the supply of cold air from the Arctic region and northern Canada into south central and eastern Canada... which in turns means no cold air for the CONUS east of the Rockies . The deep persistent trough over the West Coast implies significant or major weather systems crashing into the West Coast of North America. This usually brings above or much above precipitation for a prolonged period of time along with below and much below normal temperatures from the West coast to the Rockies

There’s a lobe that extends east on the 12k. Trending colder. With rain up into Michigan and no incredible HP in Canada, we can hope for a front end thump in your area up into the Dacks but little else. Doubt it affects anyone in the lake plain or west of 81 with anything more than a few minutes of sleet.

It is pretty cool that this was the expected La Niña storm track and it’s definitely played out that way. Small victory for long term forecasting.

It’s a similar pattern that brought that epic mid Atlantic winter a few years back. I’ll take my chances on that. IDK. Synoptic storms could inch far enough into our region, no? Agree that it would kill any lake effect chances.

It’s far enough SE that maybe it’s a watcher?

Maybe. I think that’s sleet. I’ve seen that signature before in that same area. I’ve been lovin on the RGEM but I don’t buy those snow totals for a second. Maybe up into the Dacks but not just north of the thruway. Colder tho

I hear ya. I did 3 fantastic ski trips last year. I don’t see that happening this year. I’ll miss the skiing but I’ll never miss the ‘packing 20 into an air-b-and-b’ part. I’m getting too old for that. Especially with a communicable disease in our midst. Last year I got my own hotel room and it was worth 10x it’s price. Of course the lack of snow lessens the blow!

I’ll bet you do hear beep, beep, beep. Probably gives you sweet dreams.

https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1343905397959237632?s=20

Been loving the Canadian products. RGEM and HRDPS have always been great tools. LES AND synoptic.

So happy to have some of our ‘as of yet’ unfortunate members hit paydirt. Am I the last loser? I’m clearly speaking only in terms of snowfall here.