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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. rochesterdave
  2. rochesterdave
    Cohen has been going nuts about the SSW and PV disruption. I guess it’s real. My guess? It’s probably happening at the worst time. Looked like we might be on the verge of a natural reversion to winter. Now, who knows? Hey, it’s actually really hard to be wrong over 50% of the time. It’s the one thing Cohen and I have in common. That and a big dick.
  3. rochesterdave
    Yowzer! Euro and GFS show a long, boring, snowless streak. A much needed break from the action we’ve seen in Monroe county.
  4. rochesterdave
    You and Wolfie settled it. Just about 50” or even less. Makes sense. Your point about Elmira being in a rough position for the Miller B’s is right on the money. It’s usually the counties up north or to your west that do better.
  5. rochesterdave
    This winter is illustrating how much of our snowfall is dependent on lake effect. Without the cold and the lakes, I wonder if we’d have much snow at all? What would be the annual without Erie and Ontario?
  6. rochesterdave
    Good example of the type of enhancement the Rochester area can receive. Even with a storm over the ocean.
  7. rochesterdave
    Man. Some parts of the state are having a totally different winter than the rest of us jerks.
  8. rochesterdave
    Yeah. I’ve got to keep a pessimistic outlook at this point. Burned too many times to get any hope up. Today is a good example- I coulda seen getting excited only to be let down by marginal temps, a weak system and an OTS suppressed track. This just ain’t our winter. Now watch me go full bananas the next real watcher. I’m that junky who keeps saying, “this is the last time”. And then Hugo is all, “Poppie, I got some real tight tango” and I’m all, “let me hit the atm”.
  9. rochesterdave
    I didn’t see any real threats on the GFS 384 run. Marginal temps and classic La Niña storm track. Stick a fork in January. We all know how stuff pops up at the bleakest freaking moment so I know better than to believe my bs 100%
  10. rochesterdave
    It has to be said. January looks shot.
  11. rochesterdave
    GFS just spit out 5” for Syracuse, Matt. Do we buy or sell?
  12. rochesterdave
    Matt is not going to make a great shrink. Just saying. I think I’d end up taking the bridge
  13. rochesterdave
    Actually the 18z looks better for Binghamton and eastern finger lakes. It did move NW a bit.
  14. rochesterdave
    I don’t understand this winter. Now this next one is weaker and OTS.
  15. rochesterdave
    Snowing in Pittsford last couple hours. Not sticking.
  16. rochesterdave
    Yeah. They kinda suck. Lol
  17. rochesterdave
    I kind of like the 0z adjustment. At least we have a more consolidated, deeper storm. Gives someone a shot. Let’s go NW now!
  18. rochesterdave
    Tough forecast for Boston’s western suburbs. GFS says what storm? Others say look out for upto 2 feet of snow. Forecast for WNY and CNY much easier....lol- slush at most.
  19. rochesterdave
    That’s a pretty bullish forecast. You can’t knock them for not going higher. I think a few of our members had Bing and Alb in the high teens and low 20”s. I think I said 11”. Lol That location is in a pretty good spot for banding. Storms often follow the coast and Bing is at a good pivot point for when storms make the turn from Jersey to SE New England. They have to turn almost 90degrees to avoid crashing into NYC.
  20. rochesterdave
    When Binghamton got that 41” of snow, I’m curious, how much was NWS predicting the day before? I think Binghamton was just within the northern most part of the watch. I’m guessing NWS had them in that 8-12” zone? Can you imagine? I still think it’s the most remarkable synoptic snow storm I’ve seen in years. That storm didn’t make sense. Was it just the lift? It was a tiny storm!!!
  21. rochesterdave
    No. Me neither. Never did
  22. rochesterdave
    ICON probably has a good handle on snowfall these next few days. I’m not trusting the output on the meso’s. It’s just too warm. Awful stuff.
  23. rochesterdave
    Different from anything I’ve seen all winter.
  24. rochesterdave
    Man! In this environment, I wouldn’t want to be within 100 miles of bullseye.
  25. rochesterdave
    I think it’s actually the new one. But they’ve kinda sidelined it.
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