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rochesterdave

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Everything posted by rochesterdave

  1. rochesterdave
    Or this, lol.
  2. rochesterdave
    I’d love this
  3. rochesterdave
    NWS dropped a really anemic advisory on Monroe. 4-7”. Booo. Looks like they buy the EURO.
  4. rochesterdave
    I hear ya. Except the EURO sucks this year.
  5. rochesterdave
    The NAM is a killer model. I really hope they don’t retire it. Let it run in legacy form.
  6. rochesterdave
    Wow
  7. rochesterdave
    Solid run for many of us
  8. rochesterdave
    EURO is now showing more snow in NYC than WNY. Boooo
  9. rochesterdave
    37” in 54 hours at Marquette
  10. rochesterdave
    I think it was already explained but I’ll do it one more time: nearly half of the models have a suppressed system that nearly misses Rochester with qpf (see RGEM, EURO and ICON). The NAM brings a warm tongue and possible dry slot. They also still have a number of headlines up in Monroe for other stuff and didn’t have confidence level for a watch. Ultimately, I think we get there, but I totally see their rationale.
  11. rochesterdave
    Both the EURO and RGEM have advisory amounts. Nothing odd about it. Smart. IMO
  12. rochesterdave
    We don’t mess around. Some serious weenies up in here.
  13. rochesterdave
    Afternoon disco (BUF) is pretty damn positive. They like the backside
  14. rochesterdave
    Kuchie for kicks. I’d take this look!
  15. rochesterdave
    Good signs. Good NAM run. No watch for WNY. Probably high end advisory but a watch would of felt good.
  16. rochesterdave
    Still to Jamestown. Lol.
  17. rochesterdave
    Every bit counts
  18. rochesterdave
    NAM looks a bit colder so far. Upper levels too
  19. rochesterdave
    They’ve always gone there. I think it’s topography
  20. rochesterdave
    Big run for the NAM coming up. Will it shift south? Will it hold?
  21. rochesterdave
    Of course that’s after a 6” thump. Honestly, this is kind of your best bet in Buffalo. If the low stays south you miss all the moisture and get very limited enhancement either way.
  22. rochesterdave
    Not the best trends for WNY. Still time to go the other way but not looking great. 4-8?
  23. rochesterdave
    So NAM is the outlier. I still kind of believe it.
  24. rochesterdave
    Then you’d be freaking out because Syracuse was always on the far western envelope. Those weren’t gimmies. But Syracuse often cashed in. Better than mixing I guess.
  25. rochesterdave
    The big problem with this is we rely almost entirely on the thump. No extra lake love with a track like that.
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