Jump to content

tombo82685

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    13,428

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by tombo82685

  1. tombo82685
    I still think you're fine for 6 or more, esp being west of syracuse.
  2. tombo82685
    remember 24hrs ago, they almost had timmy swan diving into Ontario. They made no sense with where everything else was. lower resolution ftl
  3. tombo82685
    the gefs suck
  4. tombo82685
  5. tombo82685
    In all seriousness, as it looks now i'd say erie to rochester to watertown looks the best to maximize snow growth and best spot in relation to h7 track
  6. tombo82685
    Plains I believe had it in the teens maybe single digits.
  7. tombo82685
    Presidents day storm in 03 had pounding sleet in the teens
  8. tombo82685
    I've seen it before, it can happen. It may not be in that location, but it can happen. There is going to be warm tongues in the mid levels. Thats why kuchie maps should be tossed for the middle of the storm because there are warm tongues that may rime flakes
  9. tombo82685
    I've seen sleet in the teens. Surface temps means very little in terms of IP. All about mid levels
  10. tombo82685
    And you still have 2.5 days to go lol
  11. tombo82685
    Or it’s just getting closer in time so you’re getting more agreement on h5 features
  12. tombo82685
    Bgm area would be one area that could see bit less as dry slot issues could play a role. Heck that could shoot into syr and my area too but thinking we see 6+
  13. tombo82685
    This looks like a 6-10 for most of the region. Buffalo to Rochester 10-15 be my guess
  14. tombo82685
    ukie goes up i95 then over albany, tad east of 12z
  15. tombo82685
    There is not 1 gfs member that takes the track of the gfs op. They are all east. Either their resolution and physics can't see something or gfs wonk. Leaning towards the gefs being wonk
  16. tombo82685
    tough to tell on early ukmet model pages but looks a good bit east of ggem and gfs
  17. tombo82685
    See how the northern stream energy being further east acts to kick it east. While if it digs west of it slings it more north
  18. tombo82685
    Can see on the gefs the big uncertainty is the northern stream piece of energy.
  19. tombo82685
    Timmy in Rochester goes from hoisting weenies on the gfs, to burning them at the stake on the gefs
  20. tombo82685
    lol and the gefs mean goes further southeast. What in the literal woot. Either the op is on crack, or the lower resolution of gefs ens members just aren't picking up on something
  21. tombo82685
    you want to find the best snow with these systems, always want to be either nw or west of h7 low track
  22. tombo82685
    also, thats not snow those colors, its IP
  23. tombo82685
    well its the leading edge of the waa slamming into the cold dense air. Also, on the gfs and probably ggem you guys are on the perfect side of the 700mb low track.
  24. tombo82685
    yea, progressive. Now it's to robust with qpf
  25. tombo82685
    ggem looks just like the gfs, over hagerstown MD
×
×
  • Create New...